Sunday, September 27, 2009

Sunday's Free NFL Picks

Enter the WagerScore.com NFL Pick 'Em Contest and win cold hard cash! Forget about the spread can you Pick SU NFL Winners? Enter Now!

NFL | Sep 27
Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
+3-110
at SIA
> 5h.
The Bears are coming off a very big win last Sunday against the Steelers and now they head out west to Seattle before coming back home for a divisional game against Detroit. This is a typical sandwich spot for Chicago and yet it comes into this game favored. This line opened with the Bears being a favorite before the injury information even came in which I think was a huge error. During their Super Bowl season, the Bears went 7-1 on the road during the regular season but since then they have gone just 6-11 with three of those wins coming against Detroit and St. Louis last season and Oakland in 2007 and the season record for those teams in those years were 0-16, 2-14 and 4-12. Wins against the better teams on the road have been few and far between and even with Matt Hasselbeck likely out for this one, the Seahawks are still a good team. The Seahawks were a disappointing 2-6 at home last season but injuries played a huge role in their down season in 2008. Hasselbeck was part of it but receivers and key defensive players were also part of it. Toward the end of the season, Seattle simply gave up as it got into a big hole that it could not get out of. Sitting at 1-1 this season, the Seahawks know that the season is far from over and this is a big game to get things going back in the right direction. The Seahawks have a game at Indianapolis next week so the possibility of a 1-3 record after next week is there if it loses here. The Seahawks defense was gashed last week against the 49ers and Frank Gore as he gained 207 yards on 16 carries. He had two big touchdown runs and take those away and his average drops from 12.9 ypc to just 3.4 ypc so basically Gore was held in check his other 14 carries. That shows how numbers can really get out of whack when only one or two plays make the difference. Making corrections this week has been the main focus for defensive coordinator Gus Bradley with the Bears bringing running back Matt Forte to town. But even with Lofa Tatupu a question, the Seahawks won't change anything if linebacker David Hawthorne feels he is up for the challenge in his first NFL start. I don�t think anything needs to be changed anyway based on the Gore breakdown anyway. In Week One, Seattle held Steven Jackson of the Rams to 67 yards on 16 carries (4.2 ypc). Take away his 22-yard run and his average per attempts drops to 3.0. That is another classic example of just one play throwing everything out of whack. Chicago rushed for just 43 yards on 18 carries last week (2.4 ypc). The Bears defense is without Brian Urlacher and they did not do a great job against the Steelers despite allowing just 14 points. Pittsburgh rushed for 105 yards on 22 carries (4.8 ypc) and the offense outgained the Bears offense 308-275. Chicago was fortunate Pittsburgh missed two field goals. Seattle also falls into a great rushing situation. Play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game going up against an opponent after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 3* Seattle Seahawks


In Week Two NFL, Matt went 4-2 ATS (66.7%) with his Premium Reports and brining home +11.8 Units! This included an outright victory on Houston with his 10* Divisional Report which is his HIGHEST RATING! He has another 10* TOP PLAY going on Sunday with an Underdog backed by a TREMENDOUS 16-5 ATS (76.2%) Power Situation! The profits continue in Week Three! Guaranteed!


NFL | Sep 27
San Francisco 49ers vs. Minnesota Vikings
Total
39½ un-110
at BETUS
> 2h.
Free Play for September 27, 2009
1 Unit on 49ers/Vikings Under 39.5
Bottom Line: With two very good defenses on the field Sunday and two offenses that prefer to run the football, I expect the clock to keep moving and for this one to go under the number. The Under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 road games, 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games on turf, and 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 vs. the NFC. Bet the Under.

NFL | Sep 27
Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots
New England Patriots
-4-108
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Martin's Sunday NFL Free Play:

1 Unit on New England Patriots -4


The Patriots have to win this game, and I have no doubt that Tom Brady and company will get the job done. The Patriots were embarrassed last week at New York, and you can bet Bill Belichick will have his team ready to go this week. Atlanta has been very fortunate to play their first two games at home, but now they have to face a rowdy crowd in Foxboro and a team very hungry for a win. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. My money is on Brady and Belichick this week. Cash in with New England as the favorite.

*3-0 NFL SWEEP Last Sunday! (Broncos, Bills, Ravens OVER)* If you liked last week's clean sweep, then you will love the results you find in my Sunday NFL 5-for-1 Pack for $34.99 for Week 3! I have never seen so many line mistakes in one day, and I'm absolutely LICKING MY CHOPS over these soft lines and you should be too! Games include Colts/Cards, Titans/Jets, 49ers/Vikings and Redskins/Lions! Check out my home page and sign up knowing you are GUARANTEED-to-PROFIT or I'll send you Monday's plays FREE of Charge!

-=TOP PLAY=-
NFL | Sep 27
Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets
Tennessee Titans
+3-130
at BODOG
> 2h.
1* Take the Tennessee Titans ATS, We are getting very good line value here with the Titans Sunday afternoon since they are the superior team. The Titans almost knocked off the defending super bowl champs in week 1 of the season and then they stumbled last week in a game that they should have won but they lost the turnover battle that cost them the game. The Titans rushed for 240 yards last week and passed for 209 yards against the Texans and I look for their offense to put enough points up against this Jets defense on the road and come away with the win. The Jets were very lucky to come away with the win last week after rushing for just 117 yards while passing for just 137 yards and their luck runs out this week against a very solid Titans team that knows how to win on the road under Coach Fisher. The Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of September and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a loss. Take the Tennessee Titans as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday afternoon.

Vernon Croy crushes the books big time on the grid-iron so make sure you get on his top NFL plays for Sunday that are all backed by full in-depth betting reports.

NFL | Sep 27
New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
+6½-105
at SIA
> 5h.
Widow's NFL Free Pick for Sunday:

1* on Buffalo Bills +6.5


Everyone is all over the New Orleans Saints after they've put up 93 points in 2 games. As a result, this line has been inflated. Remember, the Bills could easily be 2-0 right now if it wasn't for a Leodis McKelvin fumble that handed the Patriots the game in Week 1. But Buffalo responded nicely at home last week, taking a 17-0 lead over Tampa Bay and never looking back in a 33-20 victory. This Bills' defense is much better than they get credit for, and this stop unit can make big plays to counter the Saints' explosive offense. After last week�s win over Tampa Bay, Head coach Dick Jauron now owns a 15-3 ATS mark at home against non-conference teams. His Bills� clubs are also 9-4 ATS in September, and 8-4 ATS as home dogs. The Saints were fortunate to play Detroit in Week 1 and an Eagles' team without Donovan McNabb and a beat up defense in Week 2. This one won't come as easy for Drew Brees and company as the oddsmakers are expecting. Take Buffalo and the points.

***SIZZLIN' 20-1 (95%) NFL Start to 2009!*** The Widow went 10-1 in the preseason and an UNBEATEN 10-0 through the first two weeks of the regular season! NOW 41-12 (77%) L53 NFL Picks Since 2008 after he finished on a 21-11 NFL Tear last season! No. 1 Ranked NFL Handicapper in 2009 by a LANDSLIDE! The Widow is selling 5 individual NFL picks Sunday for a total of $110! SAVE $60 with The Widow's MONSTER Sunday NFL 5-Pack for $50! If you aren't betting these 5 pro football picks then you are passing up more monster profits ths weekend! You'll be GUARANTEED to WIN or you PLAY FOR FREE Monday!

NFL | Sep 27
Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots
Total
47 un-110
at BODOG
> 2h.

Ai Simulator has a 3* graded play UNDER in this game. It shows a 74% probability that 44 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system hitting 71% winners for a 48-20 mark since 1983. Play under with any team against the total off a road loss in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. Here is a slight variation of this system that has produced even better results with a 33-11 record for 75% winners since 1983. Play under with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points off a home win in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. AiS also shows an 85% probability that Atlanta will gain between 5 and 5.5 yards per play. Note that Atlanta is 5-1 UNDER in games where they gain 5 to 5.5 yards per play. AiS shows an 88% probability that NE will allow 3.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. Note that NE, in that role, are 6-1 UNDER over the past 3 seasons.


If you are looking to start off the Sunday card with a big win then this is the play for you. Ryan absolutely loves this game and it is reinforced by TWO incredible 26-year money making systems. One has gone 29-1 since 1983. Think what this system alone is worth to you so get on board and win ATS.


NFL | Sep 27
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
+14-110
at SIA
> 2h.

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they play against Baltimore set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that the Browns will lose this game by 13 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-39 ATS for 66% winners since 2004. Play on road dogs or pick off a road loss. Simple yes and it makes money. The system reflects the parity that has prevailed over the past decade where on any given week anything can happen in the NFL. Of course that is not the case for all games, but there are certainly times where a team like the Browns can look horrid and the following week they can look like a team on the rise. The public sentiment in the line also reflects the prevailing parity in the NFL where consistency on a week to week basis is somewhat rare. Baltimore defense is giving up some big plays on defense and allowing 8.4 yards per pass play. Last week, Rivers, passed for over 400 yards and exposed the secondary on nearly every play. The Browns have a very good WR in Edwards and they will get him man coverage situations simply by throwing more short routes to rookie Massaquoi. With Baltimore�s secondary struggling it will limit their ability to blitz and stack the LOS for run stop. They cannot afford to put anyone on Edwards in man coverage. This will open up running lanes between the tackles. The browns have an edge on special teams with return specialist Gibbs. His returns will give Cleveland strong field position to employ aggressive vertical pass plays, play action pass routes, and draw plays. Take the Browns.





Join Ryan for his 15* Titan DOG that ranks among the strongest 25 plays ever produced by his Ai Simulator spanning more than 16 years of games. These plays hit at very high winning percentages. It is also backed by solid research featuring a strong 26-year money making system and more.



NFL | Sep 27
New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills
New Orleans Saints
-6+102
at 5DIMES
> 5h.

Free NFL Play courtesy of Tony George Sports


New Orleans -6


What can you say about the Saints? Their offense is rivaling The greatest Show on Turf days of the Rams. QB Brees is off the chart, throwing to a host of weapons in Colston and Shockey to name a few, and I doubt seriously if the Bills hapless secondary can do much of anything to contain them on Sunday, even at home. The no huddle offense of the Bills will allow a huge time of possession advantage to the Saints, and that is the last thing that you want. Saints big play capability and better than average defense will keep the Bills from trading punches here, and Trent Edwards under the gun and forced to stretch the field has not worked well in the past for the Bills, and that will be the case on Sunday.


KEY MIS-MATCH - The NFLs leading passer and pass offense against the NFLs WORST PASS DEFENSE! Add to the fact that the Bills pass rush is so/so and QB Brees is a mobile and accurate thrower who can buy even more time to throw it, and there simply is no way unless New Orleans fails to get off the bus that they should not win this game by 10 to 14 points with ease.


Free Play on New Orleans


8-1 ATS with all NFL Plays combined the past 2 Sundays. DO YOU LOVE MONEY?? If so Invest with my 4-Play card on Sunday and walk away a winner.


NFL | Sep 27
Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears
-2½-110
at BOOKM
> 5h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Chicago Bears -2.5
Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck suffered a broken rib last week. He did not practice all week and is extremely unlikely to play according to coach Jim Mora. Even if he does go, it's not going to be the All-Pro version of Hasselbeck. Seneca Wallace will be his replacement if he can't go. He's a solid backup but the Seahawks are just 5-7 when he starts and he will face a Bears defense that has looked very strong early on. Look for Jay Cutler and the Bears to build off of a big win over the defending Super Bowl champion Steelers here. The Seahawks are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 3.0 points or less. Lay the number.

NFL | Sep 27
Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions
Washington Redskins
-6½+100
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Free Play on Washington Redskins -6.5

It's been trendy this week to pick the Lions to get their first win over the Redskins in Detroit today, but the Lions need to show a lot more than they have in their first two games before you'll want to bet on them. Detroit is averaging 20 points per game offensively, which is a step in the right direction, but their defense is giving up 36 points and nearly 400 yards of total offense per game. Today the Detroit offense will be facing one of the better defenses in the league, as the Redskins have allowed just 15 points per game on less than 300 yards of total offense. The Lions defense is just too bad right now to stop anyone, even the offensively-challenged Redskins.

NFL | Sep 27
Green Bay Packers vs. St Louis Rams
St Louis Rams
+7-105
at SIA
> 2h.
Sport: NFL
Game: Green Bay at St. Louis
Date/Time: 9/27/2009 1:00PM EST
Pick: St. Louis Rams
Reason: On Sunday the NFL System club play is on the St. Louis Rams game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams are an ugly play here today. However they qualify in a nice 38-14 system that plays on underdogs off an ats win that score 7 or less. The Rams played much better in a close loss last week at Washington. The problem is an offense that has just 7 points in 2 weeks, Today the Rams play their first home game against a Packers team that comes in off a bad home favored loss to the Bengals. The Packers are on the road for the first time and there playing on the turf in this one. The Packers are just 1-9 ats off a double digit ats loss if they are taking on a non division team. The Rams are 10-2 ats at home after allowing 10 or less points in their last game. The line in this one at the time of this writing has Green Bay as a 6.5 point favorite. IF this line officially gets to 7 the Rams would qualify in a secondary system that is 31-7 ats I would then upgrade this play. Look for the Rams to give Green Bay a good game here and maybe pull the upset. On Sundays late phone card I have a 15-1 system that dates to 1977. Its the NFL Game of the month rated at 5 units. I also have another system that has cashed at 98% since 1990 and a week 3 totals system that has cashed 18 of 20 times over the past 29 years, These plays are part of a solid overall card. Last week we were in a NY. State of mind as we cashed both 5 unit plays on the Jets and Giants. This Sunday we are poised to do major damage and we cashed the big 5 unit PAC 10 bomb with Stanford on Saturday. Don't miss out. Jump on this guaranteed card today. For the system club play take the Rams plus the points.

NFL | Sep 27
Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos
-1-110
at BODOG
> 5h.
Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #127 Take Denver over Oakland (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) The Broncos are off to a surprising 2-0 start in 2009 and look to make it 3-0 against the Raiders Sunday afternoon in Oakland. Whenever you see the Raiders as a favorite, it is an automatic play against lately. When they are favored against divisional teams they are 0-10 ATS in their last ten games. Denver won in Oakland last year 41-10 on Monday Night Football to open up the 2008 season. I just am not sold on QB Russell as a leader, winner, or playmaker. He seems to miss wide open receiver and despite having a strong arm, I do not believe he will be able to get the job done in the league. Now is the time to sign-up for Doc�s Sports Selection Service. Check out our strong picks packages below and let 38 years of handicapping experience work for you.

NFL | Sep 27
Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets
New York Jets
-2½-110
at BETUS
> 2h.
Take the Jets -1 (1-Dime Free Play)
I'm going with the Jets I'm not buying into the fact that the Titans absolutely need this game. I mean I agree, but that does not mean the Jets don't want to start 3-0. I really don't think it should take any kind of impact on this game. The Jets at home showing what they can do already seems like a solid bet to me. It's only a free pick because I know Sanchez is going to struggle one time soon and with the solid rush defense from the Titans it could come down to Sanchez on Sunday. However, let me take you back a year ago when the Jets won at New England and then went to Tennessee to play the Titans. Similar story here with the Jets facing the Patriots last week. Only difference is the Jets will be home in both games.

The Titans have gotten killed through the air showing us that they are vulnerable in the passing attack. Big Ben threw a career high 363 yards, and Matt Schaub who the Jets absolutely shut down threw for 357 yards. There has not been much running room for the Steelers or Texans, but these are two of the worst running teams in the league in my opinion. The Jets rattled off 192 yards rushing last year on the Titans and that was when they had Haynesworth. The Jets have one of the leagues best rushing attacks with their offensive line, and I think they'll be able to run the ball enough to set up the pass. TE's have had big games against the Titans in two games they've had 14 receptions for 136 yards look for Keller to have a huge impact here on Sunday. No doubt this will be a close and hard hitting game, but in the end I see the Jets standing at 3-0 and the Titans at 0-3.

NFL | Sep 27
Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears
-1-122
at 5DIMES
> 5h.
Craig has been tearing it up in his Football Picks in the last week. A perfect 5-0 in CFB and a solid 3-1 in NFL last week! Craig has two huge 5 star Winners GUARANTEED to build your bankroll!!

CHI -1: The Chicago Bears are coming off the biggest win this team has seen in over 2 years. The best news it that new QB Cutler was magical at the end of the game, leading them down for a game winning score. It has been forever since CHI could rely on a QB. The confidence of both the offense and defense can be seen by everyone. No longer does this team have to play great defense and win ugly. This team can actually move the ball on offense. On the other side another injury to Superstar QB Hassleback has Seattle's teams lofty goals in jeopardy. Seattle's defense is a little better from last year but not good enough to win games for them. Sounds as if Hassleback will miss this week and without him they have very little chance in beating a very good Bears team. Take CHI -1

No comments:

Post a Comment