Sunday, September 13, 2009

Sunday's Free NFL Football Picks

John Martin
Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13
New York Jets vs. Houston Texans
Houston Texans
-4½-103
at 5DIMES
> 1h.
Martin�s Sunday NFL Free Play:

1 Unit on Houston Texans -4.5


New York Jets' starter Mark Sanchez will struggle in his first regular season start of his career. Not only is it his first start, but it comes on the road against a hungry Houston Texans' fan base so expect it to be very hostile. To make matters worse on Sanchez, his defense is missing several key players. DE Shaun Ellis and LB Calvin Pace are both missing this game Sunday due to suspension. The Jets' defense was awful in the preseason, giving up 23 or more points in every game. They'll have their hands full against a Houston offense that put up 25.7 points/game at home last season, going 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in front of their home fans. Matt Schaub is back at the helm, and this Texans' offense is one of the most potent in the league with Schaub under center and healthy. Houston has been strong at home under Gary Kubiak, 15-9 ATS since �06. The Jets finished 0-5 ATS in their final 5 games last year, while the Texans went 6-1 ATS in their final 7 games. Cash in with Houston as the favorite.

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NFL | Sep 13
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
+13½-110
at SIA
> 1h.
1* Take the Kansas City Chiefs ATS, We are getting very good line value here Sunday afternoon with the Chiefs who should be no more than 7 point dogs since they come into this season as an improved team. The Chiefs are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games as an underdog of +10.5 or more and they have covered 4 of their last 5 games on the road dating back to last season. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these two teams and double digit dogs have tended to thrived in the first few weeks of the season. Matt Cassel has been practicing all week and he will more than likely be the starter Sunday against the Ravens so I anticipate this line to drop. Take the Kansas City Chiefs as my NFL Free Play for Sunday.

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NFL | Sep 13
Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
-13½-110
at 5DIMES
> 1h.
15* on New Orleans Saints -13.5

Take the Saints at home over the Detroit Lions. While Detroit is hopeful to actually win a game this season, it won't be in week 1 at New Orleans. Rookie QB Matt Stafford gets the start for the Lions, and while he has a great go-to guy in wide receiver Calvin Johnson, the Lions offensive line is still one of the worst in the league, and Stafford could spend a lot of this game on his back. Offensively, the Saints will again be one of the best in the league, led by quarterback Drew Brees, last year's NFL offensive player of the year, who racked up an incredible 5,069 passing yards and 34 touchdowns last season. The Lions have improved on defense from a year ago, but they won't be able to stop this New Orleans offensive machine.

NFL | Sep 13
Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints
Total
49 ov-110
at SIA
> 1h.
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Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13
San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
-6-102
at 5DIMES
> 5h.
Today I have 5 HUGE NFL WINNERS FOR YOU. Don't miss out on a PERFECT SUNDAY. Make sure to take advantage of my 4 PREMIUM selections.

Today's winner is the Arizona Cardinal's over the San Fransisco 49 er's.

The returning NFC Champion Arizona Cardinal's are as good or better than they were a season ago. The one place that they needed help was in their running game. They went out and got Beanie Wells to help out Tim Highsmith. The high-flying air attack will start right where they left off. Fitzgerald, Boldin, and Breaston are the best trio of receivers in the game. The Card's won both games last season over the Niner's. However they did split the covers. Outside of the 4 point loss in the Super Bowl, Arizona won their 4 previous games decisively over 4 solid squads. San Fransisco had a nice story last season with the addition of HC Mike Singletary. But are still a few players short of a strong team. Their defense can not contend with the outstanding air attack of Arizona. I look for the Cardinal's to come out and make a statemenet. The 49er's are 2-6-1 ATS their last 9 vs. the NFC. The Card's are 5-0 ATS their last 5 overall, 4-0 ATS their last 4 vs. the NFC, and 9-2 ATS their last 11 as a a favorite. Take Arizona. Thank you.

NFL | Sep 13
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles
-1½-110
at BETUS
> 1h.
InfoPlays Sunday, September 13th NFL Free Play:

3* on Philadelphia Eagles -1.5

Reasons why the Eagles cover the spread:


1.) Philly is looking to get off to a much faster start this season after having to play perfect ball down the stretch last year just to make the playoffs. The Eagles will start fast at Carolina. Philly made some great moves in the offseason to give Donovan McNabb the weapons he needs to maximize this offense. They brought in LeSean McCoy and Jeremy Maclin via NFL draft, and both have been excellent in the preseason. This is now considered one of the top offenses in the league. Carolina did not make the proper moves to improve their offense, and the Panthers will not be able to keep up with the Eagles on the scoreboard Sunday.

2.) The Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC foes and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Oddsmakers have listed the Eagles as the favorite because they realize who the better team is here, so take advantage and get your bets in on Philly Sunday. Bet the Eagles on the road.

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NFL | Sep 13
Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints
Total
49 ov-110
at BODOG
> 1h.
Detroit added a lot of talent during the offseason to the offense, mainly QB Matt Stafford, but they haven't done much to improve their disgraceful defense, which allowed 32 points per game last year during their winless 0-16 season. We find these Lions going "Over" in 18 of their last 24 road games and now head to New Orleans to play in the dome, where the Saints have posted a 16-8 (Over/Under) record. The Saints averaged 29 points per game last year, while putting up at least 24 points in EVERY home game last season. In fact, this Saints offense put up 29 points or more in 6 of their 8 home games! With Detroit improved on offense and the Saints owning one of the NFL's highest-powered offenses, this game should FLY over the total on this opening Sunday.

7* Play On OVER (Saints/Lions)

Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13
St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
Total
41½ un-109
at 5DIMES
> 5h.
Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #118 Take Under in St. Louis @ Seattle (Sunday 4:15 pm Fox) The Hawks are looking for better success in 2009 and many experts have them pegged as one of the most improved teams this season. The Rams are in complete rebuilding mode and hired a new coach this season in Steve Spagnuolo, the former defensive coordinator of the New York Giants. This will be Coach Jim Mora�s first game as the head man with Seattle and means we have two defensive minded coaches doing battle with one another. That sets up for a perfect play with the under, as I believe the Rams only chance of making this game competitive will be to keep the scoring low. We will not worry if the Hawks can cover this big number and just collect with the under. Seattle 21, St. Louis 17.

NFL | Sep 13
Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
+4½-110
at SIA
> 1h.
Widow�s NFL Free Pick for Sunday:

1* on Cleveland Browns +4.5


Cleveland catching points at home is one of the biggest mistakes the linesmakers have made this week. Yes, the Browns finished just 4-12 last year, but with a new head coach and a rejuvenated team, look for Cleveland to surprise some folks this year. The Vikings are just 1-3 ATS as road chalk under head coach Brad Childress. The Browns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Browns played well at home in the preseason, going 2-0 SU & ATS with 27-10 and 23-17 wins over Detroit and Tennessee, respectively. That victory over the Titans was significant because the starters played for three quarters. Quinn and Anderson combined to complete 18-of-26 passes for more than 200 yards passing and 1 TD with 0 INT�s. Whoever gets the start Sunday has what it takes to lead the Browns to a season-opening win over Minnesota. The Browns are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Take Cleveland and the points.

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NFL | Sep 13
Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns
Total
40 un-102
at 5DIMES
> 1h.
UNDER 40 (2 units)

There is a fair amount of value in playing the UNDER in this interconference matchup. The Vikings are one of the league�s strongest defensive teams. Last year they ranked 4th in sacks (45), were tied for 3rd in forced fumbles (22) and ranked first in rushing yards allowed (76.8). They ranked 18th for passing yards allowed (215.6) but managed to improve significantly from 2007 when they were dead last allowing an average of 264.5 passing yards.

The bottom line is that Minnesota�s defense will be too strong for Cleveland�s mediocre offense that managed to score only 14.5 points per game last season. There is no doubt that Cleveland will definitely be better than last year under new head coach Eric Mangini and 2 healthy starting quarterbacks, but they still have a long way to go. Mangini is a defensive genius and will focus his efforts heavily on controlling the clock and strengthening his defense. The addition of Brett Favre to the Minnesota Vikings does not turn this team into an offensive powerhouse but definitely gives the Vikings the opportunity to be a Super Bowl Contender. It is quite obvious that Favre is not the same QB as he was in his Green Bay era but he can help the Vikings win games by making simple completions, and obviously by not throwing interceptions. Minnesota�s offense will still rely heavily on Adrian Peterson as Favre will have to adjust to the Vikings playbook. In the end, both teams will be heavily running the ball in this matchup. This game will be heavily concentrated on field position. I can�t see too many touchdowns being scored in this one.

There are a few trends favoring the UNDER in this one. UNDER is 8-3 in Cleveland�s last 11 home games and 5-1 in its last 6 Week 1 contests. UNDER is 7-3-1 in Minnesota�s last 11 games in September. Lay 2 units on the UNDER.

Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13
Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings
-4+102
at 5DIMES
> 1h.
Get in on all of Craig's Premium Picks he has been on fire going 10-3 in MLB and 3-2 in CFB in the past 10 days!

A new coach and GM have the Browns hoping for some magic in 2009. But that is just what they will need in 2009 if they are going to win many games this year. The good news is they have a solid offensive line that should help whoever the starting QB ends up being. The bad news is neither of there potential QB's are dependable, the RB is over the hill, and the top WR led the league with drops in 2008. If you thought it could not get worse your wrong the defense lacks playmakers and will be lucky to not be in the bottom 5 of the league.

The Vikings are the favorite to represent the NFC in 2009. Minnesota has one of the top defenses in all of the NFL with an amazing defensive line. The Vikings take away the run from every team and dare them to throw into double coverages in the secondary. Adrian Peterson is the best running back in the NFL and with a very solid offensive line will be almost unstoppable this year. Oh and don't forget now the Vikings have Brett Farve. Not sure the new QB puts them over the top but it is still better than the backups.

This game is easy to breakdown. The Browns struggle to stop the run verse the Vikings which might be the best in football at running the ball. The Browns have a solid offense line but will have hands full with the front 7 of the Vikings. Making Cleveland throw the ball to win spells turnovers for Cleveland. The Vikes win going away and cover by at least double digits.

Minnesota Vikings -4


NFL | Sep 13
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers
+3-115
at BODOG
> 1h.

Here is Ryan�s top rated 15* Titan Dog Play of the Month and this play comes DOUBLE GUARANTEED, which means that if it does not cash for you, not only is there NO CHARGE, but you get John�s Monday Night play for FREE�. This play comes w/ complete research showing you why this is top rated play.



Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Carolina as they host Philadelphia set to start at 1:00 EST. Eagles were not good at all in all facets of the pre-season and were perhaps their worst in week 3 � the dress rehearsal for week 1. Plus, the Eagles have had a ton of injuries on defense and they could not stop the run last year. Now, with so many new starters it will be even tougher for them to stop the 2-headed running monster in Carolina�s DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Where the Eagles become completely exposed is in play action pass plays. I just can�t see DT Patterson and Bunkley winning the LOS against Carolina�s huge interior linemen. Watch the beginning of the game and see how many times in the first 3 series that those interior linemen get to the second level of defenders. If it is more than 2/3 rds of the time then the Eagles defense could get torched for a huge scoring barrage. HC Fox is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of Carolina. AiS shows a 65% probability that Carolina will win this game. It also shows a 90% probability that they will gain more than 125 rushing yards. Note that Carolina is 8-2 ATS over the past 3 seasons and 30-10 ATS since 1992 when they gain 125 or more rushing yards. Take Carolina.



NFL | Sep 13
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers
Total
43½ un-108
at 5DIMES
> 1h.
Free NFL Over-Under

NFL | Sep 13
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
+13½-110
at SIA
> 1h.
Free NFL Play

NFL | Sep 13
Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+6-110
at SIA
> 1h.
On Sunday the system club play is on the Tampa bay Buccaneers. Game 470 at 1:00 eastern. Tampa comes into this one with a new coach in Raheem Morris. No doubt they will be fired up and ready to go. Its worth noting that the Bucs have always been a fantastic non divisional home dog. Tampa has covered 10 of 11 times in this role.
Dallas will be a very public play today as the line is now up to six,up three points from the original early opening line of three. Dallas has lost the last two times they have played here. Today they fit a big negative system that cashes nearly 90%. What we want to do is play against certain road favorites in week one of the season, if they have a conference home game in week two. I would wait as long as possible in this one as the line may shoot up before game time. I think this one will be a close game. On Sundays late phone card I have a play from a very solid system that has cashed 47 of 57 times picking certain games in the first three weeks of the season. I also have 2 big high roller games from a solid week 1 system that wins just about every year. Jump on these solid plays and start the season off right. Take the Buccaneers today plus the points. BOL RV.

MLB | Sep 13
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels
-139
at 5DIMES
> 4h.
Free Play for 9/13/09
1 Unit on LA Angels -139
The Angels rolled in Game 1 of this series but then fell 3-4 in extras Saturday. I like LA to bounce back strong this afternoon against a White Sox team that is just 13-45 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games, and 3-11 in Buehrle's last 14 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Plus, the Halos crush lefty pitching to the tune of 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter and Kazmir enters with an ERA of only 1.40 and a WHIP of 0.724 over his last 3 starts. 1 Unit on the Halos.

Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
+7-102
at 5DIMES
> 1h.
The 2009-10 NFL season will open without Tony Dungy at the helm of a team for the first time in over a decade. Dungy established himself as one of the all-time greats, winning at Tampa Bay and Indianapolis, including a Super Bowl a couple of years ago. Jim Caldwell takes over for the Colts as they face the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. The Jags could never get anything going a year ago as nothing seemed to go right for this team. They went from 11 wins in 2007 to five in 2008 thanks primarily to an injury-riddled offensive line that forced them away from their successful play action passing attack. They lost both starting guards and their center in the very early going and no team is going to win when that happens. It led to a running game that was literally grounded and exposed QB David Garrard to 42 sacks (double his previous high). The offensive line is healthy to start the season and Garrard lost 20 pounds in the off-season, setting up a swifter QB and back to the rollout play action formations in which he has had his greatest success. Maurice Jones-Drew finally gets to tote the rock exclusively and this team will be better for it. I expect the Jags to improve tremendously on offense this year. The Jags match up well with the Colts up front and their hard-nosed smash mouth tactics have taken advantage of Indy's weak interior defense. The Jags have always played well against the Colts and these games are very frequently tight and hotly contested. The last 14 times these teams have met, 12 games were decided by eight points or less and the Jags have covered four straight at Indianapolis. Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio is now 5-1 ATS as a divisional dog of 7+ points. This is just too many points in a division rivalry like this one. The line is big because Jacksonville is underrated. I like the Jags to put up a real fight here.

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