Sunday, October 18, 2009

Free NFL Sports Picks - Sunday Oct.18

Alex Grosse
NFL | Oct 18
St Louis Rams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
St Louis Rams
+10-115
at BODOG
> 3h.
Unlocked Sports 2* Freeplay

The Rams are 0-5 this season and are being outscored by an average margin of 22.4 points per game. In fact, they have only won 5 of their last 37 regular season games. These guys are bound for an upset or at the very least they should be able to cover a spread. This matchup probably presents a strong opportunity for St. Louis to finally look somewhat like a competitive football team. The books are giving the Rams 9.5-10 points against an opponent that has had a lot of difficulty covering spreads as a favorite. Jacksonville is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 contests as a favorite and 0-6 ATS in its last 6 as a home favorite. The Jags probably looked even worse in their 41-0 blowout loss to Seattle last week than St. Louis did in any of its contests this season. There is no question that Steve Spagnuolo is sick and tired of watching his club get blown out by the opposition. I can guarantee you that he will have his squad well prepared for this contest and maybe just maybe the Rams may finally get their first win of the season.

Alex was 5-1 and +9.22 units with his NFL selections last weekend. He's got another winning 5Pack including Unlocked Sports' first 2009 NFL 5* Platinum Selection (12-6-1 in 2008)! His 5Pack is guaranteed to profit or his Monday nighter is on the house!

NFL | Oct 18
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
+10-110
at SIA
> 6h.
EDGE Article
October 13, 2009
Buffalo at the NY Jets
4:15 EST start
I nailed another 10* MNF winner with the Dolphins as they truly exposed the holes in the Jets defense. It wasn�t just the Wild Cat either that took its� toll on that defense that allowed THREE go ahead touch downs in the 4th quarter. Short week for preparation and a bit of adversity for this Jets team may provide the best opportunity for Buffalo to gain some much needed respect with a solid showing in New Jersey.
The Dolphins did a great job on nose tackle Kris Jenkins. He commands double teams on most every running play, but what Miami did was to use zone blocking to get him moving laterally. This in turn game the RB�s cut back lanes or simply solid holes in the middle of the line. Buffalo has been horrific in protecting their QB on 3rd and long situations. No doubt they will see what Miami did to get the running game in high gear and that will keep them out of third and long situations. This will also allow Edwards extra time by utilize play action and those are the situations that can get TO in man coverage and high percentage pass opportunities.
The Jets are averaging 4.1 rushing yards per carry, but is not a true reflection of the running game. They had 38 yards rushing on 2 fake punts against the Dolphins and they have used a wide array of gadget and reverse plays. They are NOT a dominating running team between the tackles. With injuries to the Buffalo LB starters, the Jets will certainly try to run the ball between the tackles, but I do not see it being effective and the Buffalo defensive perimeter has done an excellent job remaining disciplined in pursuit.
Combine the fundamental research with an Ai Simulator grading of 3 stars and you have the potential for a very close game. AiS shows a 70% probability that Buffalo will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Her eis a supporting system that has gone 109-59 for 65% winners since 1983. That�s a 26-year track record of consistent winners broken out by a 47-27 10-year mark and a 26-15 5 year mark. Play on road teams that are bad team being outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game after a loss by 6 or less points. Yes, this is new coaching, but this is the first 2 game losing streak for coach Ryan. Note that the Jets are just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Take the Bills.
I have now hit 71% ATS winners in College Football over the past 52 premium releases. I am hitting 60% winners in the NHL and all of the plays have been DOGS so far this season. Plus, I won my 15* NLDS Game of the Year play. I went 15-5 in the 2008 MLB play-offs so my best opportunities are still yet to come.

NFL | Oct 18
St Louis Rams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
St Louis Rams
+10-115
at BODOG
> 3h.
The Rams are certainly not a very good and are arguably the worst team in the NFL right now. But how can Jacksonville be laying close to double-digits after getting absolutely annihilated last week in Seattle? Some will argue that this is the perfect bounce back position but I think it is just the opposite. If anything, it gives the Rams more confidence as they have nothing to lose at this point and feel they can hang with a team that just got their doors busted in. St. Louis lost last week at home against the Vikings by 28 points but it actually outgained Minnesota by 23 yards as it racked up 400 yards of total offense. Turnovers were the difference as the Rams gave it up three times inside the 10-yard line while also giving up a 48-yard fumble return for a touchdown. St. Louis is getting outscored by an average of 22.4 ppg on the season as the offense has had trouble scoring and the defense has had just the opposite effect on the opposition. To the Rams credit they have played the 6th toughest schedule in the NFL as three of their five games have come against teams ranked within the top half of the league. As for the Jaguars, it looked as though they had turned their season around with back-to-back wins over Houston and Tennessee but they took a big step backward last Sunday. After combining for 68 points in those two victories, they were able to get nothing against the Seahawks while mustering only 199 yards of offense. The offense is ranked middle of the pack but it has been hit or miss and even though the Rams are allowing a ton of points, the defense is ranked 23rd in the league which is actually better than the Sunday opponent. Jacksonville is 30th in the NFL in total defense, allowing 380.6 ypg and 25.4 ppg which is 24th in the NFL. If there is a defense that can get a struggling offense going, this could be the one. Marc Bulger will be getting the start this week at quarterback for the Rams. He ended the game last week by going 7-7 for 88 yards and a touchdown and while that was against a defense that had letup, it is still a great confidence booster. Even adding more confidence is playing against a defense that was rung up for 41 points last week. The Jaguars are just 1-8 ATS as a favorite over the last two seasons including going 0-6 ATS as a home favorite. The Rams fall into a solid contrarian situation. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are getting outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 90-48 ATS (65.2 percent) since 1983.Also, play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 45-16 ATS (73.8 percent since 1983. Both of these situations go all the way back to 1983 which makes them even more solid. Expect a closer than expected game in Jacksonville on Sunday. 3* St. Louis Rams


Matt had a WINNING NFL Week 5 and he is ready to extend what has already been a profitable season! He has won 3 of the last 4 Sundays and he is releasing his 10* TOP TICKET which is his #1 REPORT of the entire card! His latest 10* Winner with Cincinnati outright on Sunday moved his 10* plays in the NFL this year to a PERFECT 5-0 ATS!


NFL | Oct 18
Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots
New England Patriots
-9-105
at BODOG
> 6h.
Widow's NFL Free Pick for Sunday:

1* on New England Patriots -9


Coming off a loss to the Denver Broncos in a game they led 17-7 at half, look for the Patriots to come out hungry at home Sunday. They face a Tennessee Titans team that is now 0-5 on the season after their 31-9 loss to the Colts last week. Tennessee is in a world of hurt at quarterback, and on the defensive side of the football. The Titans are allowing 27.8 points/game and 288 passing yards/game. New England is primarily a passing team so Tom Brady and company should have their way with this Tennessee secondary just as Peyton Manning did last week. The Patriots are 3-0 at home this season with solid wins over the Bills, Falcons and Ravens. Tennessee is losing by an average of 10.0 points/game on the road this year, which included a 20-point loss at Jacksonville in their last road trip. New England is scoring 26.0 points/game at home this year and averaging 402 yards/game of total offense. 26 points will be more than enough to win by double-digits Sunday against this pathetic Titans' offense that is scoring only 14.7 points/game away from home. The Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Take New England and lay the points.

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NFL | Oct 18
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
-3-111
at 5DIMES
> 3h.
Martin's Sunday NFL Free Play:

1 Unit on Carolina Panthers -3


The Panthers picked up the win they needed to get their season turned around against Washington last week, and now they keep that momentum going as they head into Tampa Bay to face the winless Buccaneers. Carolina rallied from a 17-2 deficit to win 20-17 last week, and now they have all the confidence in the world heading down south Sunday. Tampa Bay is in major rebuilding mode right now, and they aren't going to stop the bleeding this weekend. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. The Buccaneers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games on grass, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bucs really haven't even been competitive this season for the most part. Carolina has owned Tampa Bay in the past, and the Panthers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings with the Bucs overall. Carolina is 4-1 SU in their last 5 trips to Tampa Bay. Cash in with the Panthers as the favorite.

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NFL | Oct 18
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
-3-115
at BODOG
> 3h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on New Orleans Saints -3
(Condensed writeup to get game out ASAP so you can lock in your wagers)
This is a statement game for the Saints to show the NFL that it is for real this season. Off a bye week, New Orleans will be fresh and well prepared. It also catches a break with Eli Manning not being at 100 percent. The Saints have an improved running game to take the pressure off of QB Drew Brees and a defense ranked sixth in the league. After 3 weeks of playing cupcakes, I have the Giants getting stung in the Superdome. New Orleans is 10-1 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 32.8 to 17.1 in these games, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Take the Saints for 1 Unit.

NFL | Oct 18
Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers
-14+103
at 5DIMES
> 3h.
Last week I was 2-1 on Sunday. This week I will go a PERFECT 4-0. I have this Free Play as well as 3 GUARANTEED WINNERS for you. I also have my biggest Monday night Footbal release this year.


Today's winner is Pittsburgh over Cleveland.


Pittsburgh is back on track, winning 2 in a row. RB Rashard Mendenhall has put up 243 YR in the last 2 games and rookie WR Mike Wallace is Pittsburgh's new deep threat. Safety Troy Polamalu is listed as probable after being out since Week 1. The Cleveland offense has now failed to score a TD in 9 of their last 11 games. Last week QB Derek Anderson was a dismal 2-17 passing at Buffalo. The favorite in this matchup is 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 meetings. The Brown's are 1-4 ATS their last 5 in Pitt and 2-8-1 ATS their last 11 vs. Pitt. Pittsbirgh covers. Thank you.


NFL | Oct 18
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
-14-110
at 5DIMES
> 3h.
Free Play for October 18, 2009
1 Unit on Green Bay Packers -14
Bottom Line: The Packers entered their bye week off a tough divisional loss to Minnesota and I expect them to come out of it with a blowout win over lowly Detroit. Remember when the Packers were upset by Cincinnati in Week 2? They followed that up with a 36-17 win over an inferior Rams team. I expect them to do major damage to another inferior team today, one they have owned forever. Green Bay is a perfect 18-0 at home against Detroit since 1992, going 12-4-2 ATS in those games and winning by an average of 13 ppg. That's a big average margin of victory over a long period of time. Over the last 3 seasons, the Packers are 4-0 in all matchups with Detroit, winning by an average of 17 ppg. I'll back the Packers at home today.

NFL | Oct 18
Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons
Total
46 ov-107
at 5DIMES
> 11h.
Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #134 Take Over in Chicago @ Atlanta (Sunday 8:20 pm NBC) Both of these teams are known for strong defenses but that has not been the case this season and we expect a shootout to develop playing in perfect conditions inside the dome. Atlanta was dominating last week putting up 45 points in a rout at San Francisco. The Bears have been able to get healthy and will enter this game off of a bye and did score 48 points the last time they were in action. The Bears will be without LB Brian Urlacher and will have to score points in order to win games in 2009. This year they have a big time playmaker at the quarterback position in Jay Cutler. Cutler is not afraid to throw the ball downfield and that creates big plays, whether it be by the offense or by the defense. That sets up well for a strong play on the over, as we will not worry if Atlanta can cover this spread. Doc�s Sports has a strong card coming this week in football, including our Revenge Game of the Year. This team will atone for last year and get the job done in a big way.

NFL | Oct 18
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
-3-115
at BODOG
> 3h.
Take Saints -3 (1-Dime Free play)
The Saints really impressed me when they played against the Jets and you think of this team as a passing team, but they rank 2nd in the league in rushing offense, and they will face a Giants 15th ranked rush defense. The Giants are vulnerable and banged up right now and their rush defense has faced an average 21st rushing offense. This week they will actually face a solid opponent as on both sides of the ball in terms of who they have faced have not been of quality. The Giants have faced an average 24th ranked total offense and an average 23rd total defense. You can see why they are #2 in offense and #1 in total defense. Saints on the other hand have been playing quality opponents and are more battle tested as well as coming off a bye. The extra preparation pays off in this league. Over the last few years the Giants have been the best road team, but on Sunday they fall into a tough situation against a hot team coming off the bye. If this game was later in the year I take the Giants, but here on Sunday because of where the Giants are, banged up and not battle tested, I'm going to have to take the Saints.

NFL | Oct 18
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Oakland Raiders
Total
40½ ov-103
at 5DIMES
> 6h.
On Sunday the system club play on Sunday is a solid total.Take the over in the Philly at Oakland game. Rotation numbers 225/6 at 4:05 eastern. What we want to do is play the over when any team is a road favorite of -7 or more vs a non-division team,if they play a divisional opponent next week. This system has cashed 24 of 31 times going as far back as 1980. Both teams will put up points in this one. I expect the Raiders to play much better on offense this week,returning home off 2 bad road games. Philly has a solid offense that has scored over 30 points in 3 of their 4 games already this year. Look for a high scoring game here today. Those looking for something to pound I have the non-conference Goy going today. This big banger is backed with a 13-0 system that dates to 1980 and a 23-4 system that dates to the mid 70/s. Also on the card is a 42-12 Double Power angle play and 19-2 system side play. The card is guaranteed. Last week we cashed the big 5 star on Seattle a 41-0 winner. On Sunday the damage continues. Don't miss this big card. Jump on and end the week with the cash.We dominated last week and will do it again today. Take the over in the Eagles at Raiders game for the system club play. RV.

NFL | Oct 18
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
-14-110
at BETUS
> 3h.
With Fall weather in the air it's only fitting for football to be played at Lambeau Field where the Green Bay Packers host the Detroit Lions in Week six NFL action.

The Packers come into this one of a bye week in the biggest media event in the NFL so far this season as they squared off against Packer legend Brett Favre and his new team, the Minnesota Vikings. While the Pack ended up on the wrong side of the scoreboard, they certainly earned respect and showed they aren't a team who is going to lay down for anyone. This is the Packers third home game this season but first in three games and as with most NFL teams, a week of rest and home cooking should revitalize them as they had been going non stop since the summer. Aaron Rodgers hopes to regain the form he looked to have during the preseason but he is going to need to get better protection from his offensive line. Rodgers has been target practice for defenders when he drops back to pass. If the Pack can get their running game moving it should help him out immensely. The defense has played well so far and while they gave up more than they would have liked at Minnesota, that was against one of the best offenses in the league this year and their effort was more than respectable.

The Lions managed to cover last week through the back door but it was a cover none the less.We are starting to see tat all of those years of drafting high throughout the draft, not just the names we hear most about in the first round. The Lions aren't quite there yet but they have given their fans reason to hope and if they continue to play hard they are bound to win a few more games this season. Injuries are really starting to mount for the Lions and the problem with being a rebuilding team is that you just don't have the quality depth to match up with the better teams. This will more than likely be the Lions undoing throughout the season. It is important to note that while the Lions have played decently at home, they have stunk it up on the road.

Green Bay is 4-0 against the spread in their last four following a bye week and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine against the NFC North. Detroit is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games but they are 1-6 against teh spread following their last seven covers. The Packers have covered in five of the last six meetings between these two and the favorite has covered in four of the last five.

I am not sold on Green Bay this season and feel they are over rated. If they fail to get protection for Rodgers it will be difficult for him to stay healthy throughout the season. The Lions will be a decent team sooner rather than later but with the mounting injuries they are in a tough spot. Calvin Johnson is out this game and that will give the Lions one less thing to work with.

Mitch's Pick: Green Bay

NFL | Oct 18
Baltimore Ravens vs. Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
-3+110
at BOOKM
> 3h.
Another huge weekend on tap for Craig as he has three CFB 5 star plays for the weekend and 3 NFL 5 star plays save big buy a weekly pass and don't miss any of Craig's Winners!!

MIN -3: Two teams headed in opposite directions. MIN is coming off 2 very nice ATS wins where as BAL is coming off two losses both straight up and ATS.

Close your eyes and imagine the defense of BAL past can you dream about them? OK well that dream is just that a dream. This defense is no longer the dominant defense of yesterday. Instead this defense has flashes of excellence but also has some huge lapses where they give out huge plays. Lucky for BAL the offense has improved but still are still not a dominant offense that can be counted on to win a high scoring affair.

Minnesota is riding high and really match up well with BAL this week. To beat the Ravens you need to run the ball and stay out of long yardage third downs. Well this MIN team is the best running team in the league with the best RB on the planet. MIN offense will have the Ravens scratching their head all day and will dominate TOP with the great run game. Defensively MIN will put constant presure on Flaco and will cause at least two to's.

Not as close as many are picking. SCORE MIN 27 - BALT 16

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Free NFL Sports Picks

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NFL | Sep 27
Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
+3-110
at SIA
> 5h.
The Bears are coming off a very big win last Sunday against the Steelers and now they head out west to Seattle before coming back home for a divisional game against Detroit. This is a typical sandwich spot for Chicago and yet it comes into this game favored. This line opened with the Bears being a favorite before the injury information even came in which I think was a huge error. During their Super Bowl season, the Bears went 7-1 on the road during the regular season but since then they have gone just 6-11 with three of those wins coming against Detroit and St. Louis last season and Oakland in 2007 and the season record for those teams in those years were 0-16, 2-14 and 4-12. Wins against the better teams on the road have been few and far between and even with Matt Hasselbeck likely out for this one, the Seahawks are still a good team. The Seahawks were a disappointing 2-6 at home last season but injuries played a huge role in their down season in 2008. Hasselbeck was part of it but receivers and key defensive players were also part of it. Toward the end of the season, Seattle simply gave up as it got into a big hole that it could not get out of. Sitting at 1-1 this season, the Seahawks know that the season is far from over and this is a big game to get things going back in the right direction. The Seahawks have a game at Indianapolis next week so the possibility of a 1-3 record after next week is there if it loses here. The Seahawks defense was gashed last week against the 49ers and Frank Gore as he gained 207 yards on 16 carries. He had two big touchdown runs and take those away and his average drops from 12.9 ypc to just 3.4 ypc so basically Gore was held in check his other 14 carries. That shows how numbers can really get out of whack when only one or two plays make the difference. Making corrections this week has been the main focus for defensive coordinator Gus Bradley with the Bears bringing running back Matt Forte to town. But even with Lofa Tatupu a question, the Seahawks won't change anything if linebacker David Hawthorne feels he is up for the challenge in his first NFL start. I don�t think anything needs to be changed anyway based on the Gore breakdown anyway. In Week One, Seattle held Steven Jackson of the Rams to 67 yards on 16 carries (4.2 ypc). Take away his 22-yard run and his average per attempts drops to 3.0. That is another classic example of just one play throwing everything out of whack. Chicago rushed for just 43 yards on 18 carries last week (2.4 ypc). The Bears defense is without Brian Urlacher and they did not do a great job against the Steelers despite allowing just 14 points. Pittsburgh rushed for 105 yards on 22 carries (4.8 ypc) and the offense outgained the Bears offense 308-275. Chicago was fortunate Pittsburgh missed two field goals. Seattle also falls into a great rushing situation. Play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game going up against an opponent after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 3* Seattle Seahawks


In Week Two NFL, Matt went 4-2 ATS (66.7%) with his Premium Reports and brining home +11.8 Units! This included an outright victory on Houston with his 10* Divisional Report which is his HIGHEST RATING! He has another 10* TOP PLAY going on Sunday with an Underdog backed by a TREMENDOUS 16-5 ATS (76.2%) Power Situation! The profits continue in Week Three! Guaranteed!


NFL | Sep 27
San Francisco 49ers vs. Minnesota Vikings
Total
39½ un-110
at BETUS
> 2h.
Free Play for September 27, 2009
1 Unit on 49ers/Vikings Under 39.5
Bottom Line: With two very good defenses on the field Sunday and two offenses that prefer to run the football, I expect the clock to keep moving and for this one to go under the number. The Under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 road games, 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games on turf, and 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 vs. the NFC. Bet the Under.

NFL | Sep 27
Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots
New England Patriots
-4-108
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Martin's Sunday NFL Free Play:

1 Unit on New England Patriots -4


The Patriots have to win this game, and I have no doubt that Tom Brady and company will get the job done. The Patriots were embarrassed last week at New York, and you can bet Bill Belichick will have his team ready to go this week. Atlanta has been very fortunate to play their first two games at home, but now they have to face a rowdy crowd in Foxboro and a team very hungry for a win. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. My money is on Brady and Belichick this week. Cash in with New England as the favorite.

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-=TOP PLAY=-
NFL | Sep 27
Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets
Tennessee Titans
+3-130
at BODOG
> 2h.
1* Take the Tennessee Titans ATS, We are getting very good line value here with the Titans Sunday afternoon since they are the superior team. The Titans almost knocked off the defending super bowl champs in week 1 of the season and then they stumbled last week in a game that they should have won but they lost the turnover battle that cost them the game. The Titans rushed for 240 yards last week and passed for 209 yards against the Texans and I look for their offense to put enough points up against this Jets defense on the road and come away with the win. The Jets were very lucky to come away with the win last week after rushing for just 117 yards while passing for just 137 yards and their luck runs out this week against a very solid Titans team that knows how to win on the road under Coach Fisher. The Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of September and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a loss. Take the Tennessee Titans as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday afternoon.

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NFL | Sep 27
New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
+6½-105
at SIA
> 5h.
Widow's NFL Free Pick for Sunday:

1* on Buffalo Bills +6.5


Everyone is all over the New Orleans Saints after they've put up 93 points in 2 games. As a result, this line has been inflated. Remember, the Bills could easily be 2-0 right now if it wasn't for a Leodis McKelvin fumble that handed the Patriots the game in Week 1. But Buffalo responded nicely at home last week, taking a 17-0 lead over Tampa Bay and never looking back in a 33-20 victory. This Bills' defense is much better than they get credit for, and this stop unit can make big plays to counter the Saints' explosive offense. After last week�s win over Tampa Bay, Head coach Dick Jauron now owns a 15-3 ATS mark at home against non-conference teams. His Bills� clubs are also 9-4 ATS in September, and 8-4 ATS as home dogs. The Saints were fortunate to play Detroit in Week 1 and an Eagles' team without Donovan McNabb and a beat up defense in Week 2. This one won't come as easy for Drew Brees and company as the oddsmakers are expecting. Take Buffalo and the points.

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NFL | Sep 27
Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots
Total
47 un-110
at BODOG
> 2h.

Ai Simulator has a 3* graded play UNDER in this game. It shows a 74% probability that 44 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system hitting 71% winners for a 48-20 mark since 1983. Play under with any team against the total off a road loss in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. Here is a slight variation of this system that has produced even better results with a 33-11 record for 75% winners since 1983. Play under with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points off a home win in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. AiS also shows an 85% probability that Atlanta will gain between 5 and 5.5 yards per play. Note that Atlanta is 5-1 UNDER in games where they gain 5 to 5.5 yards per play. AiS shows an 88% probability that NE will allow 3.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. Note that NE, in that role, are 6-1 UNDER over the past 3 seasons.


If you are looking to start off the Sunday card with a big win then this is the play for you. Ryan absolutely loves this game and it is reinforced by TWO incredible 26-year money making systems. One has gone 29-1 since 1983. Think what this system alone is worth to you so get on board and win ATS.


NFL | Sep 27
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
+14-110
at SIA
> 2h.

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they play against Baltimore set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that the Browns will lose this game by 13 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-39 ATS for 66% winners since 2004. Play on road dogs or pick off a road loss. Simple yes and it makes money. The system reflects the parity that has prevailed over the past decade where on any given week anything can happen in the NFL. Of course that is not the case for all games, but there are certainly times where a team like the Browns can look horrid and the following week they can look like a team on the rise. The public sentiment in the line also reflects the prevailing parity in the NFL where consistency on a week to week basis is somewhat rare. Baltimore defense is giving up some big plays on defense and allowing 8.4 yards per pass play. Last week, Rivers, passed for over 400 yards and exposed the secondary on nearly every play. The Browns have a very good WR in Edwards and they will get him man coverage situations simply by throwing more short routes to rookie Massaquoi. With Baltimore�s secondary struggling it will limit their ability to blitz and stack the LOS for run stop. They cannot afford to put anyone on Edwards in man coverage. This will open up running lanes between the tackles. The browns have an edge on special teams with return specialist Gibbs. His returns will give Cleveland strong field position to employ aggressive vertical pass plays, play action pass routes, and draw plays. Take the Browns.





Join Ryan for his 15* Titan DOG that ranks among the strongest 25 plays ever produced by his Ai Simulator spanning more than 16 years of games. These plays hit at very high winning percentages. It is also backed by solid research featuring a strong 26-year money making system and more.



NFL | Sep 27
New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills
New Orleans Saints
-6+102
at 5DIMES
> 5h.

Free NFL Play courtesy of Tony George Sports


New Orleans -6


What can you say about the Saints? Their offense is rivaling The greatest Show on Turf days of the Rams. QB Brees is off the chart, throwing to a host of weapons in Colston and Shockey to name a few, and I doubt seriously if the Bills hapless secondary can do much of anything to contain them on Sunday, even at home. The no huddle offense of the Bills will allow a huge time of possession advantage to the Saints, and that is the last thing that you want. Saints big play capability and better than average defense will keep the Bills from trading punches here, and Trent Edwards under the gun and forced to stretch the field has not worked well in the past for the Bills, and that will be the case on Sunday.


KEY MIS-MATCH - The NFLs leading passer and pass offense against the NFLs WORST PASS DEFENSE! Add to the fact that the Bills pass rush is so/so and QB Brees is a mobile and accurate thrower who can buy even more time to throw it, and there simply is no way unless New Orleans fails to get off the bus that they should not win this game by 10 to 14 points with ease.


Free Play on New Orleans


8-1 ATS with all NFL Plays combined the past 2 Sundays. DO YOU LOVE MONEY?? If so Invest with my 4-Play card on Sunday and walk away a winner.


NFL | Sep 27
Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears
-2½-110
at BOOKM
> 5h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Chicago Bears -2.5
Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck suffered a broken rib last week. He did not practice all week and is extremely unlikely to play according to coach Jim Mora. Even if he does go, it's not going to be the All-Pro version of Hasselbeck. Seneca Wallace will be his replacement if he can't go. He's a solid backup but the Seahawks are just 5-7 when he starts and he will face a Bears defense that has looked very strong early on. Look for Jay Cutler and the Bears to build off of a big win over the defending Super Bowl champion Steelers here. The Seahawks are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 3.0 points or less. Lay the number.

NFL | Sep 27
Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions
Washington Redskins
-6½+100
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Free Play on Washington Redskins -6.5

It's been trendy this week to pick the Lions to get their first win over the Redskins in Detroit today, but the Lions need to show a lot more than they have in their first two games before you'll want to bet on them. Detroit is averaging 20 points per game offensively, which is a step in the right direction, but their defense is giving up 36 points and nearly 400 yards of total offense per game. Today the Detroit offense will be facing one of the better defenses in the league, as the Redskins have allowed just 15 points per game on less than 300 yards of total offense. The Lions defense is just too bad right now to stop anyone, even the offensively-challenged Redskins.

NFL | Sep 27
Green Bay Packers vs. St Louis Rams
St Louis Rams
+7-105
at SIA
> 2h.
Sport: NFL
Game: Green Bay at St. Louis
Date/Time: 9/27/2009 1:00PM EST
Pick: St. Louis Rams
Reason: On Sunday the NFL System club play is on the St. Louis Rams game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams are an ugly play here today. However they qualify in a nice 38-14 system that plays on underdogs off an ats win that score 7 or less. The Rams played much better in a close loss last week at Washington. The problem is an offense that has just 7 points in 2 weeks, Today the Rams play their first home game against a Packers team that comes in off a bad home favored loss to the Bengals. The Packers are on the road for the first time and there playing on the turf in this one. The Packers are just 1-9 ats off a double digit ats loss if they are taking on a non division team. The Rams are 10-2 ats at home after allowing 10 or less points in their last game. The line in this one at the time of this writing has Green Bay as a 6.5 point favorite. IF this line officially gets to 7 the Rams would qualify in a secondary system that is 31-7 ats I would then upgrade this play. Look for the Rams to give Green Bay a good game here and maybe pull the upset. On Sundays late phone card I have a 15-1 system that dates to 1977. Its the NFL Game of the month rated at 5 units. I also have another system that has cashed at 98% since 1990 and a week 3 totals system that has cashed 18 of 20 times over the past 29 years, These plays are part of a solid overall card. Last week we were in a NY. State of mind as we cashed both 5 unit plays on the Jets and Giants. This Sunday we are poised to do major damage and we cashed the big 5 unit PAC 10 bomb with Stanford on Saturday. Don't miss out. Jump on this guaranteed card today. For the system club play take the Rams plus the points.

NFL | Sep 27
Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos
-1-110
at BODOG
> 5h.
Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #127 Take Denver over Oakland (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) The Broncos are off to a surprising 2-0 start in 2009 and look to make it 3-0 against the Raiders Sunday afternoon in Oakland. Whenever you see the Raiders as a favorite, it is an automatic play against lately. When they are favored against divisional teams they are 0-10 ATS in their last ten games. Denver won in Oakland last year 41-10 on Monday Night Football to open up the 2008 season. I just am not sold on QB Russell as a leader, winner, or playmaker. He seems to miss wide open receiver and despite having a strong arm, I do not believe he will be able to get the job done in the league. Now is the time to sign-up for Doc�s Sports Selection Service. Check out our strong picks packages below and let 38 years of handicapping experience work for you.

NFL | Sep 27
Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets
New York Jets
-2½-110
at BETUS
> 2h.
Take the Jets -1 (1-Dime Free Play)
I'm going with the Jets I'm not buying into the fact that the Titans absolutely need this game. I mean I agree, but that does not mean the Jets don't want to start 3-0. I really don't think it should take any kind of impact on this game. The Jets at home showing what they can do already seems like a solid bet to me. It's only a free pick because I know Sanchez is going to struggle one time soon and with the solid rush defense from the Titans it could come down to Sanchez on Sunday. However, let me take you back a year ago when the Jets won at New England and then went to Tennessee to play the Titans. Similar story here with the Jets facing the Patriots last week. Only difference is the Jets will be home in both games.

The Titans have gotten killed through the air showing us that they are vulnerable in the passing attack. Big Ben threw a career high 363 yards, and Matt Schaub who the Jets absolutely shut down threw for 357 yards. There has not been much running room for the Steelers or Texans, but these are two of the worst running teams in the league in my opinion. The Jets rattled off 192 yards rushing last year on the Titans and that was when they had Haynesworth. The Jets have one of the leagues best rushing attacks with their offensive line, and I think they'll be able to run the ball enough to set up the pass. TE's have had big games against the Titans in two games they've had 14 receptions for 136 yards look for Keller to have a huge impact here on Sunday. No doubt this will be a close and hard hitting game, but in the end I see the Jets standing at 3-0 and the Titans at 0-3.

NFL | Sep 27
Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears
-1-122
at 5DIMES
> 5h.
Craig has been tearing it up in his Football Picks in the last week. A perfect 5-0 in CFB and a solid 3-1 in NFL last week! Craig has two huge 5 star Winners GUARANTEED to build your bankroll!!

CHI -1: The Chicago Bears are coming off the biggest win this team has seen in over 2 years. The best news it that new QB Cutler was magical at the end of the game, leading them down for a game winning score. It has been forever since CHI could rely on a QB. The confidence of both the offense and defense can be seen by everyone. No longer does this team have to play great defense and win ugly. This team can actually move the ball on offense. On the other side another injury to Superstar QB Hassleback has Seattle's teams lofty goals in jeopardy. Seattle's defense is a little better from last year but not good enough to win games for them. Sounds as if Hassleback will miss this week and without him they have very little chance in beating a very good Bears team. Take CHI -1

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Sunday's Free NFL Betting Picks

Rob Vinciletti
NFL | Sep 20
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears
Pittsburgh Steelers
-1-127
at 5DIMES
58min.
On Sunday the Nfl system club play of the week is on the defending super bowl champion Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 231 at 4:15 eastern. The Steelers qualify in a solid system that pertains to their opening Thursday night win. What we want to do is play on Thursday winners vs an opponent off a Sunday loss if our team has a win percentage of .700 or better and our opponent has a win percentage of .300 or less.This system is pretty rare cashing 13 of 14 times long term. The line on this game opened with the Steelers as a 3 point favorite. However the line is down to -1 in some spots. With the extra few days to prepare the Steelers should be ready and tough to defeat for a Chicago team that suffered a tough loss Sunday night in Green Bay. On the phone card I have several BIG plays.We cashed out big on Saturday going 6-1 overall in college action. In early action I have the Nfl Game of the month from 2 systems that are 26-2 and 21-0. I have a 24-2 non conference system side and 2 others that are 20-2 and 19-3. This is the deepest week 2 card in years. For the system club play take the Steelers. BOL RV.

NFL | Sep 20
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles
New Orleans Saints
-1½-110
at BETUS
Started
Who knows the Eagles as well as any coach outside their organization in the NFL? Saints head coach Sean Payton is on the short list. He spent a lot of time in the NFC East with New York and Dallas, and he has seen a lot of the Philadelphia offense, with McNabb, and without McNabb when McNabb has been injured. He knows what they are limited to when McNabb isn't in there, or when McNabb is in there but cannot run the ball. He also knows that screens to Reggie Bush might be the best counter against Philly's defensive pressure. If the Eagles send guys after Brees, and suddenly Bush is in front of them and the Saints have numbers on the break, Philly is dead. But if they cannot blitz brazenly for fear of letting Bush spring loose, then they are playing back on their heels and will not like it one bit. If Brees gets the ball into the hands of Colston and Shockey and either finds himself in front of one of those little Eagles cornerbacks, those cornerbacks will find themselves flattened. TAKE NEW ORLEANS HERE.

NFL | Sep 20
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys
Total
43½ un-110
at BOOKM
> 5h.
Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #134 Take Under in New York @ Dallas (Sunday 8:15 pm) It is the opening of Six Flags over Jerry and this is a key match-up in the NFC East as both teams enter 1-0. The Cowboys looked good in the opener but I do not believe that their offense is as explosive with Terrell Owens. The Giants do not have any good receivers that can stretch since Plaxico Burress is off the team. I expect this to be a defensive dominated game and we will not worry about who comes out on top and just collect with the under. Doc�s Sports has a strong card going this week in college and NFL and now is the time to jump on board with one of our many football packages.

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Sep 20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
-110
at SIA
Started
Both of these teams are red hot right now, but Atlanta is at home, with the better pitcher. Cliff Lee has been very good this season, posting a 14-11 mark and 3.00 ERA. But, it's Tommy Hanson who has been the better pitcher. Hanson is 10-3 with a 2.65 ERA. Over his last three starts, he's gone 20 innings posting 20 strikeouts and allowing just 10 hits and one earned run! Atlanta has bombed LHP all season long, putting 5.3 runs per game vs. southpaws. The Braves are 47-34 this season vs. winning teams. I like the Braves at home here.

NFL | Sep 20
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
New England Patriots
-3½+107
at 5DIMES
Started


New England -3.5 @ NY Jets


After a debacle on Monday Night where the Pats showed their weakness on defense, losing the likes of Seymore, Vrable, Harrision and a few others, I doubt they let rookie QB Sanchez walk all over them in a divisional game. My scouts tell me practice was intense all week. QB Brady looked less than stellar on Monday but warmed up later and id what he does, win games.


Expect a fired up Jets team to try to run it a lot, and expect NE to load up on the front line to force rookie Sanchez to have to throw. I also expect the Pats offense to get going here and try to incorporate their RB's into the passing game more out in the flat where NY is suspect. Pats 8-0 SU and ATS at Meadowlands the last 8! Unlike playing the Texans last week, the Pats run defense will be stiffer after a poor showing against Buffalo on Monday and rookie Sanchez will see some blitzs and be forced to win it through the air, doubt NE lets him shred them like Houston did!


FREE Play on New England


5-0 ATS last Sunday, and red hot in the NFL, 15-51 ATS since the beginning of preseason overall! A 4-Play Sunday Card featuring a TOP PLAY and Bonus 2-Team Teaser. This card will profit large! Invest and Win.


NFL | Sep 20
Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Total
43 un-110
at BETUS
Started

Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Arizona/Jacksonville set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows an 82% probability that 42 or fewer points will be scored in this game. This is obviously a very big game for both teams and perhaps even bigger for Arizona. Only 14% of 0-2 teams make the playoffs. With the pressure to win so high for both teams a defensive game scheme will be applied by both teams. This also means offensive schemes playing conservative and minimizing turnovers. Supporting this graded play is a very good system sporting a record of 70-36 over the past 5 seasons. Play under with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the first two weeks of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 80-39 for 67% winners since 1983. Play under with any team against the total and is a marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games and after 1 or more consecutive losses. AiS also shows a 90% probability that both QB's will not complete 60% o better of their pass attempts. Take the UNDER



Ryan did it again Saturday winning both of his premium selections and running his record to an amazing 25-6 ATS. Join him for this huge 10* TITAN DOG that is reinforced by a dog playing system hitting 74% winners on the MONEY LINE!


NFL | Sep 20
Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Arizona Cardinals
+3½-120
at SIA
Started
Jack's Free Sunday Pick on Arizona +3.5

All of a sudden I'm hearing a lot of talk about the Cardinals not being that good of a team and it's making me shake my head. To me the Jags are too weak offensively to keep pace with Arizona and the Cardinals last week looked impressive on defense. San Francisco is a quality team so that loss doesn't put a damper on my opinion of the Cards. They still should have won the game if they didn't have so many penalties and turnovers so with a more disciplined performance this week they should turn things around and win this game.

NFL | Sep 20
Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders
+3-104
at 5DIMES
Started
Martin's Sunday NFL Free Play:

1 Unit on Oakland Raiders +3


The road team has won 4 of the last 5 meetings in this series. Oakland went into K.C. last year, coming out with a 23-8 victory behind 300 rushing yards. Oakland should have beaten the San Diego Chargers last week, but a blown call by the refs on an overturned touchdown cost them the game. The Raiders threw for 218 yards and rushed for 148 more in the 20-24 loss. Kansas City managed just 188 yards of total offense against Baltimore last week. They are in shambles right now with the loss of QB Matt Cassel, who isn't expected to play this week, either. The road team is 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings overall. The Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in their last 10 home games. Oakland is a lot further along than the Chiefs right now, and that will be evident once this one goes final Sunday. Cash in with the Raiders as the underdog.

MLB | Sep 20
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Total
9½ un-110
at SIA
Started
Free MLB Over-Under

MLB | Sep 20
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
-1½+101
at 5DIMES
53min.
Free Play for September 20, 2009
1 Unit on NY Yankees -1.5 +101
Bottom Line: Yankees bounced back with a big 10-1 victory Saturday and I expect them to take Game 3 Sunday to win the series. Snell faced the Yankees for the first time last month and he was lit up for 8 earned in six innings in an 11-1 loss. I like New York's bats against Snell again here and I like Joba to remain solid on the road (5-2, 3.29 ERA). Snell is 2-13 as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.5 to 6.8 in these spots. Take the Yankees on the run line.

NFL | Sep 20
Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
-3-113
at 5DIMES
Started
Lay 2 units on the Jags.

The Cardinals appear to be suffering from a Super Bowl hangover despite the fact that they didn�t even win the Super Bowl. They proved last Sunday that their winless preseason is a strong indicator of how they will perform this year. Arizona�s struggles have been heavily related to Kurt Warner�s struggles. Warner completed 24/46 passes (52.2%) for 320 yards, 3 interceptions and no touchdowns and had a passer rating of 47.4 in the preseason. He was not much better against San Francisco as he threw 2 interceptions to one touchdown and was sacked 3 times. Another key factor to consider in this one is the fact that Arizona is playing on the East Coast. The Cards played terrible on East Coast in the regular season last year going 0-5 and being outscored by an average margin of 20 points per game! Jack Del Rio�s job is on the line so you can expect him to exploit the Cards� weaknesses in every way possible, mainly by applying a lot of pressure on Kurt Warner. I am not a big fan of Jacksonville but I think that there are too many factors in their favor in this matchup.

NFL | Sep 20
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles
New Orleans Saints
-1-105
at SPBOOK
Started
Lay 2 units on the Saints.

This will be an exciting matchup featuring two of the NFC�s most explosive offensive powerhouses. The Eagles managed to score 38 points against Carolina mainly because their defense forced 5 turnovers, meanwhile Drew Brees threw for 358 yards and 6 touchdowns to help the Saints generate 45 points against Detroit.

I like the Saints in this matchup for two main reasons. First, Donovan McNabb fractured a rib last week and will likely not play. This means that despite signing Jeff Garcia, Kevin Kolb will likely be the starting quarterback for the Eagles in their home opener. Kolb has little experience at the professional level since he has never started a game in his young career. His numbers are not fantastic by any means. He has completed 24/45 passes (53.3%) for 167 yards, 4 interceptions and no touchdowns. The main issue with Kolb is his low yards per passing attempt. His career average is 3.7 yards and when he replaced McNabb last week he managed only 23 yards, completing 7 of 11 passing attempts. This means that Philadelphia�s offense will rely heavily on Brian Westbrook to keep chains moving. The other reason I like New Orleans in this one is because the Saints were sharp against the run last week allowing only 33 rushing yards to the Lions. Obviously Philly�s ground attack is much more dangerous than Detroit�s but facing a very limited passing attack, the Saints will likely stack eight in the box forcing third and longs. The key to New Orleans� success will be based on stopping the Eagles ground attack and putting points on the board. Fortunately, they are one of the strongest offensive teams in the league. If Drew Brees can limit his mistakes by not taking unnecessary risks and avoiding throwing the ball into heavy coverage, the Saints should have no problem taking this one.

NFL | Sep 20
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears
Pittsburgh Steelers
-3+105
at BETUS
58min.
Widow's NFL Free Pick for Sunday:

1* on Pittsburgh Steelers -3


The defending champion Pittsburgh Steelers head into Chicago to take on Jay Cutler and the Bears in Week 2. Cutler threw 4 interceptions in a 15-21 loss at Green Bay last week, and throughout his career this hasn't been a quarterback that has handled adversity very well at all. Look for this Steelers' defense to get after him early and often to force more mistakes from Cutler, because he'll surely start Sunday's game with those four interceptions in the back of his mind. He'll be conservative, and this Bears' offense won't be able to make enough plays to keep up with Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers "O". Plus, Chicago will be playing without defensive leader Brian Urlacher for the remainder of the season after breaking his wrist in last week's lost. Pittsburgh also has a few extra days to prepare for this one after taking care of Tennessee 13-10 in their opener last Thursday. Roethlisberger threw for 363 yards and a touchdown last week. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Chicago is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog. The Bears need this one more, but unfortunately for Chicago fans they aren't going to get it because Pittsburgh is far and away the better team in this match-up and they aren't afraid to go on the road and win a big game. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.

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NFL | Sep 20
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
+3½-110
at SIA
58min.
Free NFL Play

NFL | Sep 20
Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
-3-105
at 5DIMES
Started
I went against Arizona last week and will do the same here. The Super Bowl loss hangover was in effect last Sunday as Arizona was getting a lot of credit over an improving San Francisco team. That hangover should continue this week on the road and most notably, on the east coast. The Cardinals lost despite outgaining the 49ers but the offensive effort was pretty bad. It is clear that Kurt Warner is not 100 percent healthy and he is looking really slow. It is just one game but he looked the same in the preseason and I do not see it improving anytime soon. He finished with a 67.2 passer rating as he tossed two interceptions while getting sacked three times and that as we know is a common theme for him. The running certainly did not help him much as the Cardinals rushed for just 40 yards on 17 carries (2.4 ypc). Some credit does have to go to the San Francisco defense for that but the rushing offense was worst in the league last season and it is going to take Beanie Wells some time to get accustomed to the NFL. The Jaguars played a hard fought game in Indianapolis last week as they lost by two points to the Colts. Jacksonville was outgained in that game 365-228 so the final score was not truly indicative of the way the game played out. The Jaguars won the turnover battle 2-0 and that is always big in this league as is the running game which I touched upon earlier with Arizona. Jacksonville held the Colts to 71 yards rushing on 31 carries (2.3 ypc) and that is a big confidence boost for a team that finished middle of the pack at stopping the run last season. Stopping the Cardinals on the ground should not be a problem either as both Indianapolis and Arizona are very similar in one of the feature backs is a rookie. I am not a big fan of David Garrard at quarterback for the Jaguars but like a lot of quarterbacks in this league, he is asked to manage the offense and not lose games. That is because he has a solid running game at his disposal led by Maurice Jones-Drew who is now the full time back with the departure of Fred Taylor. He rushed for 97 yards on 21 carries (4.6 ypc) and he also caught five passes out of the backfield. The running game edge goes to the Jaguars in this matchup even though Arizona put the clamps on Frank Gore last week. As mentioned, the trip east is a tough one for Arizona. It went 0-4 ATS in its four east coast trips that started at 1:00 ET last season and that is a tough trend to buck as it is logically sound and is also a league wide tough situation for team to overcome. With the travel aspect of the Cardinals, it brings in a solid situation favoring the Jaguars. Play against teams that are traveling two time zones and playing an early Sunday game. Those teams are a woeful 20-63 ATS (24 percent) since 2000. The defensive battle from last week favors Jacksonville as it is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after scoring and allowing 14 points or fewer last time out. Also part of that equation is the fact that the Jaguars are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game so they have been a solid bounce back team off poor efforts. 3* Jacksonville Jaguars


Week One of the NFL year was inconsistent for Fargo as he finished 2-3 over the weekend but we all know the best bounce back! In 2008 he went 75-52-8 ATS (59.1%) so it is time to win it back! Join him for his first DIVISIONAL GOY that has the makings of a MASSIVE WIN and backed by a FANTASTIC 28-8 ATS (77.8%) Power Situation! Do not delay and get on this MONSTER!


NFL | Sep 20
New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Total
46½ un-110
at SIA
Started


FREE PLAY


The Saints are known for their powerful offense, but their biggest improvement this season has actually come on defense and this is now a legitimate Super Bowl contender. The 27 points that New Orleans allowed versus Detroit last week was misleading as the Lions only gained 231 total yards in the game (4.1 yards per play).

Philadelphia will likely be without their starting QB Donovan McNabb who is doubtful with injured ribs which means backup QB Kevin Kolb will get the start. Kolb has been decent in the preseason, but he struggled in the regular season last year with a miserable 21.8 QB rating with a 4.2 yards per pass average and a 0/4 TD/INT ratio.

The Eagles will likely run the ball more than normal in order to take the pressure off the young quarterback, but they will now be facing a solid New Orleans rush defense that allowed just 33 rushing yards (1.1 yards per carry) versus Detroit. Philadelphia was successful on the ground last week at Carolina, but the high-scoring 38-10 score was misleading as the Eagles benefited from 7 Carolina turnover and overall Philadelphia had just 267 total yards (4.4 yppl).


NFL | Sep 20
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
-1-102
at 5DIMES
48min.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on San Francisco 49ers -1
The Seahawks got a cake walk in Week 1, but they won't get one here against a 49ers squad that just beat the defending NFC champs on the road without playing very well on offense. San Francisco has been a different team since Singletary took over and I'll back them at home this week. The 49ers are the better defensive team and I like their ability to run the football with Gore here. The 49ers can play a lot better than they did in Week 1. They only managed 21 yards rushing on 25 carries. That's unacceptable in Singletary's book and I expect the 49ers to be much more physical up front and to successfully run the football this week. Doing so and playing solid defense should equal a win and cover here. Seattle is 0-7 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons, and 4-18 ATS after a win by 21 or more points since 1992. Take the Niners at home.

NFL | Sep 21
Indianapolis Colts vs. Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis Colts
-3OFF
at BODOG
> 1d.
Miami hosts the Colts on Monday Night Football and find themselves in the home Dog role for their home opener.Monday's home game is sandwiched in between two tough road games- Last Sunday's tough 7-19 loss in Atlanta and then they'll have to travel to San Diego next weekend- The road might be a better place for the Fish as they're 1-5 ATS during their last six at home behind Head Coach Tony Sparano. Dolphins QB Pennington is not in his best role either, as we find him at 4-11 ATS as a home Dog and now he tackles a Colts team that's looking to put some offense together after skimming by last Sunday with a 14-12 win against Jacksonville. Expect QB Manning to get things rolling in front of a national TV audience as the Colts are a profitable 5-1 ATS after being held to 14 points or less in their previous game during the Regular season.

7* Play On Indianapolis

MLB | Sep 20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Total
7½ un-115
at BETUS
Started
Tampa Bay is 14-4 UNDER their last 18 games and they are 17-5 UNDER their last 22 Sunday games. The Rays are 19-6-1 UNDER in Game 3 of a series and they are 5-1 UNDER their last 6 games as underdogs. Toronto is 11-3-1 UNDER their last 15 games as home favorites. The Blue Jays are 8-3-1 UNDER with Roy Halladay on the mound as a favorite. The Blue Jays are 34-16 UNDER their last 50 games vs. the Rays. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Halladay vs. Price)

NFL | Sep 20
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
-1-102
at 5DIMES
48min.
San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS their last 6 home games and they are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The 49'ers are 4-1 ATS in Week 2 of the season and they are 4-0 ATS after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their last game. Seattle is 6-21-3 ATS their last 30 games off a straight up win by more than 14 points and they are 2-7 ATS off a straight up win. The Seahawks are 0-5 after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO -

-=TOP PLAY=-
NFL | Sep 20
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans
-7-110
at BETUS
Started
1* Take the Tennessee Titans ATS, The Texans just got beat bad at home by the New York Jets and their defense looked just as bad as it did last season so I look for the Titans offense to have a big day at home Sunday. The Titans are a lot better team than the Texans and they should be favored by more than 7 points at home so we are getting great line value here although I anticipate this line moving later in the week. The Titans have had a few extra days to prepare for this game since they played in the season opener against the defending Super Bowl champions on the Thursday night. The Titans had several chances to win that game in Pittsburgh losing by just 3 points and the Titans are now a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games played in the Month of September. The Titans run-defense looked solid against the Steelers holding them to just 36 total rushing yards and Houston will not be able to get anything going on the ground against them. Since Houston will not be able to get anything going on the ground this will allow the Titans to control the tempo of the game. The Titans offense did about as good as you could do against one the best defenses in the NFL on the road last week. The Titans offense now faces one of the leagues worst defenses so I look for them to put up big numbers at home this week considering the Jets put up 24 points against the Texans on the road last week. The Titans are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against an AFC South opponent and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Texans are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of +3.5 to +10 points and they are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the Titans. Take the Tennessee Titans as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday afternoon.

If you enjoyed Vernon Croy's Monday night NFL Smash that cashed hands down with the Buffalo Bills then you will absolutely love his huge NFL Game of the Month for Sunday! Get on it now as his domination on the grid-iron continues!

NFL | Sep 20
Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders
+3-119
at 5DIMES
Started
Oakland @ Kansas City 1:00 PM EST
Play On: Oakland +3

The Raiders impressed me somewhat this past Monday night against a much better Chargers team. Kansas City is 1-4 SU and 0-4 ATS as a favorite the past 3 years. Oakland is 2-0 SU and ATS at Kansas City the past 3 years. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City. Road team is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

NFL | Sep 20
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
-1-110
at BODOG
48min.
InfoPlays Sunday, September 20th Free Play:

3* on San Francisco 49ers -1

Reasons why the 49ers cover the spread:


1.) 49er fans have been yearning for a winner for year, and they finally have one. Mike Singletary has installed a new attitude in this team that's contagious, and they went on the road and beat Arizona last week 20-16 to start the season. Including the preseason, the 49ers are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall, all under the guidance of Singletary. They are 5-1 in their last six regular season games. This team plays the game the right way. Run the football, mix in timely passing, and get after it defensively. The 49ers now have one of the best defenses in the league.

2.) Seattle is 1-13 ATS off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992. The Seahawks are 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Seattle may have beaten up on the Rams at home last week, but now they face a much stiffer challenge in a hungry 49ers' team that won't be denied on their home turf Sunday. Bet San Francisco at home.