Sunday, September 27, 2009
Free NFL Sports Picks
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Sunday's Free NFL Picks
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| NFL | Sep 27 Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks | Seattle Seahawks +3-110 at SIA | > 5h. |
| The Bears are coming off a very big win last Sunday against the Steelers and now they head out west to Seattle before coming back home for a divisional game against Detroit. This is a typical sandwich spot for Chicago and yet it comes into this game favored. This line opened with the Bears being a favorite before the injury information even came in which I think was a huge error. During their Super Bowl season, the Bears went 7-1 on the road during the regular season but since then they have gone just 6-11 with three of those wins coming against Detroit and St. Louis last season and Oakland in 2007 and the season record for those teams in those years were 0-16, 2-14 and 4-12. Wins against the better teams on the road have been few and far between and even with Matt Hasselbeck likely out for this one, the Seahawks are still a good team. The Seahawks were a disappointing 2-6 at home last season but injuries played a huge role in their down season in 2008. Hasselbeck was part of it but receivers and key defensive players were also part of it. Toward the end of the season, Seattle simply gave up as it got into a big hole that it could not get out of. Sitting at 1-1 this season, the Seahawks know that the season is far from over and this is a big game to get things going back in the right direction. The Seahawks have a game at Indianapolis next week so the possibility of a 1-3 record after next week is there if it loses here. The Seahawks defense was gashed last week against the 49ers and Frank Gore as he gained 207 yards on 16 carries. He had two big touchdown runs and take those away and his average drops from 12.9 ypc to just 3.4 ypc so basically Gore was held in check his other 14 carries. That shows how numbers can really get out of whack when only one or two plays make the difference. Making corrections this week has been the main focus for defensive coordinator Gus Bradley with the Bears bringing running back Matt Forte to town. But even with Lofa Tatupu a question, the Seahawks won't change anything if linebacker David Hawthorne feels he is up for the challenge in his first NFL start. I don�t think anything needs to be changed anyway based on the Gore breakdown anyway. In Week One, Seattle held Steven Jackson of the Rams to 67 yards on 16 carries (4.2 ypc). Take away his 22-yard run and his average per attempts drops to 3.0. That is another classic example of just one play throwing everything out of whack. Chicago rushed for just 43 yards on 18 carries last week (2.4 ypc). The Bears defense is without Brian Urlacher and they did not do a great job against the Steelers despite allowing just 14 points. Pittsburgh rushed for 105 yards on 22 carries (4.8 ypc) and the offense outgained the Bears offense 308-275. Chicago was fortunate Pittsburgh missed two field goals. Seattle also falls into a great rushing situation. Play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game going up against an opponent after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 3* Seattle Seahawks
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| NFL | Sep 27 San Francisco 49ers vs. Minnesota Vikings | Total 39½ un-110 at BETUS | > 2h. |
| Free Play for September 27, 2009 1 Unit on 49ers/Vikings Under 39.5 Bottom Line: With two very good defenses on the field Sunday and two offenses that prefer to run the football, I expect the clock to keep moving and for this one to go under the number. The Under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 road games, 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games on turf, and 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 vs. the NFC. Bet the Under. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots | New England Patriots -4-108 at 5DIMES | > 2h. |
| Martin's Sunday NFL Free Play: 1 Unit on New England Patriots -4 The Patriots have to win this game, and I have no doubt that Tom Brady and company will get the job done. The Patriots were embarrassed last week at New York, and you can bet Bill Belichick will have his team ready to go this week. Atlanta has been very fortunate to play their first two games at home, but now they have to face a rowdy crowd in Foxboro and a team very hungry for a win. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. My money is on Brady and Belichick this week. Cash in with New England as the favorite. *3-0 NFL SWEEP Last Sunday! (Broncos, Bills, Ravens OVER)* If you liked last week's clean sweep, then you will love the results you find in my Sunday NFL 5-for-1 Pack for $34.99 for Week 3! I have never seen so many line mistakes in one day, and I'm absolutely LICKING MY CHOPS over these soft lines and you should be too! Games include Colts/Cards, Titans/Jets, 49ers/Vikings and Redskins/Lions! Check out my home page and sign up knowing you are GUARANTEED-to-PROFIT or I'll send you Monday's plays FREE of Charge! | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| NFL | Sep 27 Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets | Tennessee Titans +3-130 at BODOG | > 2h. |
| 1* Take the Tennessee Titans ATS, We are getting very good line value here with the Titans Sunday afternoon since they are the superior team. The Titans almost knocked off the defending super bowl champs in week 1 of the season and then they stumbled last week in a game that they should have won but they lost the turnover battle that cost them the game. The Titans rushed for 240 yards last week and passed for 209 yards against the Texans and I look for their offense to put enough points up against this Jets defense on the road and come away with the win. The Jets were very lucky to come away with the win last week after rushing for just 117 yards while passing for just 137 yards and their luck runs out this week against a very solid Titans team that knows how to win on the road under Coach Fisher. The Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of September and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a loss. Take the Tennessee Titans as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday afternoon. Vernon Croy crushes the books big time on the grid-iron so make sure you get on his top NFL plays for Sunday that are all backed by full in-depth betting reports. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills +6½-105 at SIA | > 5h. |
| Widow's NFL Free Pick for Sunday: 1* on Buffalo Bills +6.5 Everyone is all over the New Orleans Saints after they've put up 93 points in 2 games. As a result, this line has been inflated. Remember, the Bills could easily be 2-0 right now if it wasn't for a Leodis McKelvin fumble that handed the Patriots the game in Week 1. But Buffalo responded nicely at home last week, taking a 17-0 lead over Tampa Bay and never looking back in a 33-20 victory. This Bills' defense is much better than they get credit for, and this stop unit can make big plays to counter the Saints' explosive offense. After last week�s win over Tampa Bay, Head coach Dick Jauron now owns a 15-3 ATS mark at home against non-conference teams. His Bills� clubs are also 9-4 ATS in September, and 8-4 ATS as home dogs. The Saints were fortunate to play Detroit in Week 1 and an Eagles' team without Donovan McNabb and a beat up defense in Week 2. This one won't come as easy for Drew Brees and company as the oddsmakers are expecting. Take Buffalo and the points. ***SIZZLIN' 20-1 (95%) NFL Start to 2009!*** The Widow went 10-1 in the preseason and an UNBEATEN 10-0 through the first two weeks of the regular season! NOW 41-12 (77%) L53 NFL Picks Since 2008 after he finished on a 21-11 NFL Tear last season! No. 1 Ranked NFL Handicapper in 2009 by a LANDSLIDE! The Widow is selling 5 individual NFL picks Sunday for a total of $110! SAVE $60 with The Widow's MONSTER Sunday NFL 5-Pack for $50! If you aren't betting these 5 pro football picks then you are passing up more monster profits ths weekend! You'll be GUARANTEED to WIN or you PLAY FOR FREE Monday! | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots | Total 47 un-110 at BODOG | > 2h. |
Ai Simulator has a 3* graded play UNDER in this game. It shows a 74% probability that 44 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system hitting 71% winners for a 48-20 mark since 1983. Play under with any team against the total off a road loss in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. Here is a slight variation of this system that has produced even better results with a 33-11 record for 75% winners since 1983. Play under with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points off a home win in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. AiS also shows an 85% probability that Atlanta will gain between 5 and 5.5 yards per play. Note that Atlanta is 5-1 UNDER in games where they gain 5 to 5.5 yards per play. AiS shows an 88% probability that NE will allow 3.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. Note that NE, in that role, are 6-1 UNDER over the past 3 seasons. If you are looking to start off the Sunday card with a big win then this is the play for you. Ryan absolutely loves this game and it is reinforced by TWO incredible 26-year money making systems. One has gone 29-1 since 1983. Think what this system alone is worth to you so get on board and win ATS. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens | Cleveland Browns +14-110 at SIA | > 2h. |
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they play against Baltimore set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that the Browns will lose this game by 13 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-39 ATS for 66% winners since 2004. Play on road dogs or pick off a road loss. Simple yes and it makes money. The system reflects the parity that has prevailed over the past decade where on any given week anything can happen in the NFL. Of course that is not the case for all games, but there are certainly times where a team like the Browns can look horrid and the following week they can look like a team on the rise. The public sentiment in the line also reflects the prevailing parity in the NFL where consistency on a week to week basis is somewhat rare. Baltimore defense is giving up some big plays on defense and allowing 8.4 yards per pass play. Last week, Rivers, passed for over 400 yards and exposed the secondary on nearly every play. The Browns have a very good WR in Edwards and they will get him man coverage situations simply by throwing more short routes to rookie Massaquoi. With Baltimore�s secondary struggling it will limit their ability to blitz and stack the LOS for run stop. They cannot afford to put anyone on Edwards in man coverage. This will open up running lanes between the tackles. The browns have an edge on special teams with return specialist Gibbs. His returns will give Cleveland strong field position to employ aggressive vertical pass plays, play action pass routes, and draw plays. Take the Browns.
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| NFL | Sep 27 New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills | New Orleans Saints -6+102 at 5DIMES | > 5h. |
Free NFL Play courtesy of Tony George Sports
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| NFL | Sep 27 Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks | Chicago Bears -2½-110 at BOOKM | > 5h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on Chicago Bears -2.5 Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck suffered a broken rib last week. He did not practice all week and is extremely unlikely to play according to coach Jim Mora. Even if he does go, it's not going to be the All-Pro version of Hasselbeck. Seneca Wallace will be his replacement if he can't go. He's a solid backup but the Seahawks are just 5-7 when he starts and he will face a Bears defense that has looked very strong early on. Look for Jay Cutler and the Bears to build off of a big win over the defending Super Bowl champion Steelers here. The Seahawks are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 3.0 points or less. Lay the number. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions | Washington Redskins -6½+100 at 5DIMES | > 2h. |
| Free Play on Washington Redskins -6.5 It's been trendy this week to pick the Lions to get their first win over the Redskins in Detroit today, but the Lions need to show a lot more than they have in their first two games before you'll want to bet on them. Detroit is averaging 20 points per game offensively, which is a step in the right direction, but their defense is giving up 36 points and nearly 400 yards of total offense per game. Today the Detroit offense will be facing one of the better defenses in the league, as the Redskins have allowed just 15 points per game on less than 300 yards of total offense. The Lions defense is just too bad right now to stop anyone, even the offensively-challenged Redskins. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Green Bay Packers vs. St Louis Rams | St Louis Rams +7-105 at SIA | > 2h. |
| Sport: NFL Game: Green Bay at St. Louis Date/Time: 9/27/2009 1:00PM EST Pick: St. Louis Rams Reason: On Sunday the NFL System club play is on the St. Louis Rams game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams are an ugly play here today. However they qualify in a nice 38-14 system that plays on underdogs off an ats win that score 7 or less. The Rams played much better in a close loss last week at Washington. The problem is an offense that has just 7 points in 2 weeks, Today the Rams play their first home game against a Packers team that comes in off a bad home favored loss to the Bengals. The Packers are on the road for the first time and there playing on the turf in this one. The Packers are just 1-9 ats off a double digit ats loss if they are taking on a non division team. The Rams are 10-2 ats at home after allowing 10 or less points in their last game. The line in this one at the time of this writing has Green Bay as a 6.5 point favorite. IF this line officially gets to 7 the Rams would qualify in a secondary system that is 31-7 ats I would then upgrade this play. Look for the Rams to give Green Bay a good game here and maybe pull the upset. On Sundays late phone card I have a 15-1 system that dates to 1977. Its the NFL Game of the month rated at 5 units. I also have another system that has cashed at 98% since 1990 and a week 3 totals system that has cashed 18 of 20 times over the past 29 years, These plays are part of a solid overall card. Last week we were in a NY. State of mind as we cashed both 5 unit plays on the Jets and Giants. This Sunday we are poised to do major damage and we cashed the big 5 unit PAC 10 bomb with Stanford on Saturday. Don't miss out. Jump on this guaranteed card today. For the system club play take the Rams plus the points. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders | Denver Broncos -1-110 at BODOG | > 5h. |
| Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #127 Take Denver over Oakland (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) The Broncos are off to a surprising 2-0 start in 2009 and look to make it 3-0 against the Raiders Sunday afternoon in Oakland. Whenever you see the Raiders as a favorite, it is an automatic play against lately. When they are favored against divisional teams they are 0-10 ATS in their last ten games. Denver won in Oakland last year 41-10 on Monday Night Football to open up the 2008 season. I just am not sold on QB Russell as a leader, winner, or playmaker. He seems to miss wide open receiver and despite having a strong arm, I do not believe he will be able to get the job done in the league. Now is the time to sign-up for Doc�s Sports Selection Service. Check out our strong picks packages below and let 38 years of handicapping experience work for you. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets | New York Jets -2½-110 at BETUS | > 2h. |
| Take the Jets -1 (1-Dime Free Play) I'm going with the Jets I'm not buying into the fact that the Titans absolutely need this game. I mean I agree, but that does not mean the Jets don't want to start 3-0. I really don't think it should take any kind of impact on this game. The Jets at home showing what they can do already seems like a solid bet to me. It's only a free pick because I know Sanchez is going to struggle one time soon and with the solid rush defense from the Titans it could come down to Sanchez on Sunday. However, let me take you back a year ago when the Jets won at New England and then went to Tennessee to play the Titans. Similar story here with the Jets facing the Patriots last week. Only difference is the Jets will be home in both games. The Titans have gotten killed through the air showing us that they are vulnerable in the passing attack. Big Ben threw a career high 363 yards, and Matt Schaub who the Jets absolutely shut down threw for 357 yards. There has not been much running room for the Steelers or Texans, but these are two of the worst running teams in the league in my opinion. The Jets rattled off 192 yards rushing last year on the Titans and that was when they had Haynesworth. The Jets have one of the leagues best rushing attacks with their offensive line, and I think they'll be able to run the ball enough to set up the pass. TE's have had big games against the Titans in two games they've had 14 receptions for 136 yards look for Keller to have a huge impact here on Sunday. No doubt this will be a close and hard hitting game, but in the end I see the Jets standing at 3-0 and the Titans at 0-3. | ||
| NFL | Sep 27 Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks | Chicago Bears -1-122 at 5DIMES | > 5h. |
| Craig has been tearing it up in his Football Picks in the last week. A perfect 5-0 in CFB and a solid 3-1 in NFL last week! Craig has two huge 5 star Winners GUARANTEED to build your bankroll!! CHI -1: The Chicago Bears are coming off the biggest win this team has seen in over 2 years. The best news it that new QB Cutler was magical at the end of the game, leading them down for a game winning score. It has been forever since CHI could rely on a QB. The confidence of both the offense and defense can be seen by everyone. No longer does this team have to play great defense and win ugly. This team can actually move the ball on offense. On the other side another injury to Superstar QB Hassleback has Seattle's teams lofty goals in jeopardy. Seattle's defense is a little better from last year but not good enough to win games for them. Sounds as if Hassleback will miss this week and without him they have very little chance in beating a very good Bears team. Take CHI -1 | ||
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Sunday's Free NFL Betting Picks
Rob Vinciletti
| NFL | Sep 20 Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears | Pittsburgh Steelers -1-127 at 5DIMES | 58min. |
| On Sunday the Nfl system club play of the week is on the defending super bowl champion Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 231 at 4:15 eastern. The Steelers qualify in a solid system that pertains to their opening Thursday night win. What we want to do is play on Thursday winners vs an opponent off a Sunday loss if our team has a win percentage of .700 or better and our opponent has a win percentage of .300 or less.This system is pretty rare cashing 13 of 14 times long term. The line on this game opened with the Steelers as a 3 point favorite. However the line is down to -1 in some spots. With the extra few days to prepare the Steelers should be ready and tough to defeat for a Chicago team that suffered a tough loss Sunday night in Green Bay. On the phone card I have several BIG plays.We cashed out big on Saturday going 6-1 overall in college action. In early action I have the Nfl Game of the month from 2 systems that are 26-2 and 21-0. I have a 24-2 non conference system side and 2 others that are 20-2 and 19-3. This is the deepest week 2 card in years. For the system club play take the Steelers. BOL RV. | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles | New Orleans Saints -1½-110 at BETUS | Started |
| Who knows the Eagles as well as any coach outside their organization in the NFL? Saints head coach Sean Payton is on the short list. He spent a lot of time in the NFC East with New York and Dallas, and he has seen a lot of the Philadelphia offense, with McNabb, and without McNabb when McNabb has been injured. He knows what they are limited to when McNabb isn't in there, or when McNabb is in there but cannot run the ball. He also knows that screens to Reggie Bush might be the best counter against Philly's defensive pressure. If the Eagles send guys after Brees, and suddenly Bush is in front of them and the Saints have numbers on the break, Philly is dead. But if they cannot blitz brazenly for fear of letting Bush spring loose, then they are playing back on their heels and will not like it one bit. If Brees gets the ball into the hands of Colston and Shockey and either finds himself in front of one of those little Eagles cornerbacks, those cornerbacks will find themselves flattened. TAKE NEW ORLEANS HERE. | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys | Total 43½ un-110 at BOOKM | > 5h. |
| Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #134 Take Under in New York @ Dallas (Sunday 8:15 pm) It is the opening of Six Flags over Jerry and this is a key match-up in the NFC East as both teams enter 1-0. The Cowboys looked good in the opener but I do not believe that their offense is as explosive with Terrell Owens. The Giants do not have any good receivers that can stretch since Plaxico Burress is off the team. I expect this to be a defensive dominated game and we will not worry about who comes out on top and just collect with the under. Doc�s Sports has a strong card going this week in college and NFL and now is the time to jump on board with one of our many football packages. | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| MLB | Sep 20 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves -110 at SIA | Started |
| Both of these teams are red hot right now, but Atlanta is at home, with the better pitcher. Cliff Lee has been very good this season, posting a 14-11 mark and 3.00 ERA. But, it's Tommy Hanson who has been the better pitcher. Hanson is 10-3 with a 2.65 ERA. Over his last three starts, he's gone 20 innings posting 20 strikeouts and allowing just 10 hits and one earned run! Atlanta has bombed LHP all season long, putting 5.3 runs per game vs. southpaws. The Braves are 47-34 this season vs. winning teams. I like the Braves at home here. | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 New England Patriots vs. New York Jets | New England Patriots -3½+107 at 5DIMES | Started |
New England -3.5 @ NY Jets
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| NFL | Sep 20 Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars | Total 43 un-110 at BETUS | Started |
Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Arizona/Jacksonville set to start at 1:00 EST. AiS shows an 82% probability that 42 or fewer points will be scored in this game. This is obviously a very big game for both teams and perhaps even bigger for Arizona. Only 14% of 0-2 teams make the playoffs. With the pressure to win so high for both teams a defensive game scheme will be applied by both teams. This also means offensive schemes playing conservative and minimizing turnovers. Supporting this graded play is a very good system sporting a record of 70-36 over the past 5 seasons. Play under with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the first two weeks of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 80-39 for 67% winners since 1983. Play under with any team against the total and is a marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games and after 1 or more consecutive losses. AiS also shows a 90% probability that both QB's will not complete 60% o better of their pass attempts. Take the UNDER Ryan did it again Saturday winning both of his premium selections and running his record to an amazing 25-6 ATS. Join him for this huge 10* TITAN DOG that is reinforced by a dog playing system hitting 74% winners on the MONEY LINE! | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars | Arizona Cardinals +3½-120 at SIA | Started |
| Jack's Free Sunday Pick on Arizona +3.5 All of a sudden I'm hearing a lot of talk about the Cardinals not being that good of a team and it's making me shake my head. To me the Jags are too weak offensively to keep pace with Arizona and the Cardinals last week looked impressive on defense. San Francisco is a quality team so that loss doesn't put a damper on my opinion of the Cards. They still should have won the game if they didn't have so many penalties and turnovers so with a more disciplined performance this week they should turn things around and win this game. | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs | Oakland Raiders +3-104 at 5DIMES | Started |
| Martin's Sunday NFL Free Play: 1 Unit on Oakland Raiders +3 The road team has won 4 of the last 5 meetings in this series. Oakland went into K.C. last year, coming out with a 23-8 victory behind 300 rushing yards. Oakland should have beaten the San Diego Chargers last week, but a blown call by the refs on an overturned touchdown cost them the game. The Raiders threw for 218 yards and rushed for 148 more in the 20-24 loss. Kansas City managed just 188 yards of total offense against Baltimore last week. They are in shambles right now with the loss of QB Matt Cassel, who isn't expected to play this week, either. The road team is 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings overall. The Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in their last 10 home games. Oakland is a lot further along than the Chiefs right now, and that will be evident once this one goes final Sunday. Cash in with the Raiders as the underdog. | ||
| MLB | Sep 20 New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners | New York Yankees -1½+101 at 5DIMES | 53min. |
| Free Play for September 20, 2009 1 Unit on NY Yankees -1.5 +101 Bottom Line: Yankees bounced back with a big 10-1 victory Saturday and I expect them to take Game 3 Sunday to win the series. Snell faced the Yankees for the first time last month and he was lit up for 8 earned in six innings in an 11-1 loss. I like New York's bats against Snell again here and I like Joba to remain solid on the road (5-2, 3.29 ERA). Snell is 2-13 as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.5 to 6.8 in these spots. Take the Yankees on the run line. | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars -3-113 at 5DIMES | Started |
| Lay 2 units on the Jags. The Cardinals appear to be suffering from a Super Bowl hangover despite the fact that they didn�t even win the Super Bowl. They proved last Sunday that their winless preseason is a strong indicator of how they will perform this year. Arizona�s struggles have been heavily related to Kurt Warner�s struggles. Warner completed 24/46 passes (52.2%) for 320 yards, 3 interceptions and no touchdowns and had a passer rating of 47.4 in the preseason. He was not much better against San Francisco as he threw 2 interceptions to one touchdown and was sacked 3 times. Another key factor to consider in this one is the fact that Arizona is playing on the East Coast. The Cards played terrible on East Coast in the regular season last year going 0-5 and being outscored by an average margin of 20 points per game! Jack Del Rio�s job is on the line so you can expect him to exploit the Cards� weaknesses in every way possible, mainly by applying a lot of pressure on Kurt Warner. I am not a big fan of Jacksonville but I think that there are too many factors in their favor in this matchup. | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles | New Orleans Saints -1-105 at SPBOOK | Started |
| Lay 2 units on the Saints. This will be an exciting matchup featuring two of the NFC�s most explosive offensive powerhouses. The Eagles managed to score 38 points against Carolina mainly because their defense forced 5 turnovers, meanwhile Drew Brees threw for 358 yards and 6 touchdowns to help the Saints generate 45 points against Detroit. I like the Saints in this matchup for two main reasons. First, Donovan McNabb fractured a rib last week and will likely not play. This means that despite signing Jeff Garcia, Kevin Kolb will likely be the starting quarterback for the Eagles in their home opener. Kolb has little experience at the professional level since he has never started a game in his young career. His numbers are not fantastic by any means. He has completed 24/45 passes (53.3%) for 167 yards, 4 interceptions and no touchdowns. The main issue with Kolb is his low yards per passing attempt. His career average is 3.7 yards and when he replaced McNabb last week he managed only 23 yards, completing 7 of 11 passing attempts. This means that Philadelphia�s offense will rely heavily on Brian Westbrook to keep chains moving. The other reason I like New Orleans in this one is because the Saints were sharp against the run last week allowing only 33 rushing yards to the Lions. Obviously Philly�s ground attack is much more dangerous than Detroit�s but facing a very limited passing attack, the Saints will likely stack eight in the box forcing third and longs. The key to New Orleans� success will be based on stopping the Eagles ground attack and putting points on the board. Fortunately, they are one of the strongest offensive teams in the league. If Drew Brees can limit his mistakes by not taking unnecessary risks and avoiding throwing the ball into heavy coverage, the Saints should have no problem taking this one. | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears | Pittsburgh Steelers -3+105 at BETUS | 58min. |
| Widow's NFL Free Pick for Sunday: 1* on Pittsburgh Steelers -3 The defending champion Pittsburgh Steelers head into Chicago to take on Jay Cutler and the Bears in Week 2. Cutler threw 4 interceptions in a 15-21 loss at Green Bay last week, and throughout his career this hasn't been a quarterback that has handled adversity very well at all. Look for this Steelers' defense to get after him early and often to force more mistakes from Cutler, because he'll surely start Sunday's game with those four interceptions in the back of his mind. He'll be conservative, and this Bears' offense won't be able to make enough plays to keep up with Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers "O". Plus, Chicago will be playing without defensive leader Brian Urlacher for the remainder of the season after breaking his wrist in last week's lost. Pittsburgh also has a few extra days to prepare for this one after taking care of Tennessee 13-10 in their opener last Thursday. Roethlisberger threw for 363 yards and a touchdown last week. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Chicago is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog. The Bears need this one more, but unfortunately for Chicago fans they aren't going to get it because Pittsburgh is far and away the better team in this match-up and they aren't afraid to go on the road and win a big game. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points. ***UNMATCHED 17-1 (94%) NFL Record to Start 2009!*** You can look, but you won't find another handicapper with a better start to the NFL Season! No. 1 Ranked NFL Handicapper in the World in '09! The Widow went 10-1 in the preseason and a PERFECT 7-0 in Week 1 of the NFL regular season! Grab The Widow's SIZZLIN' Sunday NFL 3-Pack for $35.00 to claim your stake to these winnings that the rest of our premium clients are receiving! Bill Young is releasing his 6* Widow Wiseguy NFC Non-Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR, his 4* AFC GAME OF THE WEEK and his 4* NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK! This 3-Pack is GUARANTEED to WIN or you PLAY FOR FREE Monday! | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars -3-105 at 5DIMES | Started |
| I went against Arizona last week and will do the same here. The Super Bowl loss hangover was in effect last Sunday as Arizona was getting a lot of credit over an improving San Francisco team. That hangover should continue this week on the road and most notably, on the east coast. The Cardinals lost despite outgaining the 49ers but the offensive effort was pretty bad. It is clear that Kurt Warner is not 100 percent healthy and he is looking really slow. It is just one game but he looked the same in the preseason and I do not see it improving anytime soon. He finished with a 67.2 passer rating as he tossed two interceptions while getting sacked three times and that as we know is a common theme for him. The running certainly did not help him much as the Cardinals rushed for just 40 yards on 17 carries (2.4 ypc). Some credit does have to go to the San Francisco defense for that but the rushing offense was worst in the league last season and it is going to take Beanie Wells some time to get accustomed to the NFL. The Jaguars played a hard fought game in Indianapolis last week as they lost by two points to the Colts. Jacksonville was outgained in that game 365-228 so the final score was not truly indicative of the way the game played out. The Jaguars won the turnover battle 2-0 and that is always big in this league as is the running game which I touched upon earlier with Arizona. Jacksonville held the Colts to 71 yards rushing on 31 carries (2.3 ypc) and that is a big confidence boost for a team that finished middle of the pack at stopping the run last season. Stopping the Cardinals on the ground should not be a problem either as both Indianapolis and Arizona are very similar in one of the feature backs is a rookie. I am not a big fan of David Garrard at quarterback for the Jaguars but like a lot of quarterbacks in this league, he is asked to manage the offense and not lose games. That is because he has a solid running game at his disposal led by Maurice Jones-Drew who is now the full time back with the departure of Fred Taylor. He rushed for 97 yards on 21 carries (4.6 ypc) and he also caught five passes out of the backfield. The running game edge goes to the Jaguars in this matchup even though Arizona put the clamps on Frank Gore last week. As mentioned, the trip east is a tough one for Arizona. It went 0-4 ATS in its four east coast trips that started at 1:00 ET last season and that is a tough trend to buck as it is logically sound and is also a league wide tough situation for team to overcome. With the travel aspect of the Cardinals, it brings in a solid situation favoring the Jaguars. Play against teams that are traveling two time zones and playing an early Sunday game. Those teams are a woeful 20-63 ATS (24 percent) since 2000. The defensive battle from last week favors Jacksonville as it is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after scoring and allowing 14 points or fewer last time out. Also part of that equation is the fact that the Jaguars are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game so they have been a solid bounce back team off poor efforts. 3* Jacksonville Jaguars
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| NFL | Sep 20 New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles | Total 46½ un-110 at SIA | Started |
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| NFL | Sep 20 Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers | San Francisco 49ers -1-102 at 5DIMES | 48min. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on San Francisco 49ers -1 The Seahawks got a cake walk in Week 1, but they won't get one here against a 49ers squad that just beat the defending NFC champs on the road without playing very well on offense. San Francisco has been a different team since Singletary took over and I'll back them at home this week. The 49ers are the better defensive team and I like their ability to run the football with Gore here. The 49ers can play a lot better than they did in Week 1. They only managed 21 yards rushing on 25 carries. That's unacceptable in Singletary's book and I expect the 49ers to be much more physical up front and to successfully run the football this week. Doing so and playing solid defense should equal a win and cover here. Seattle is 0-7 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons, and 4-18 ATS after a win by 21 or more points since 1992. Take the Niners at home. | ||
| NFL | Sep 21 Indianapolis Colts vs. Miami Dolphins | Indianapolis Colts -3OFF at BODOG | > 1d. |
| Miami hosts the Colts on Monday Night Football and find themselves in the home Dog role for their home opener.Monday's home game is sandwiched in between two tough road games- Last Sunday's tough 7-19 loss in Atlanta and then they'll have to travel to San Diego next weekend- The road might be a better place for the Fish as they're 1-5 ATS during their last six at home behind Head Coach Tony Sparano. Dolphins QB Pennington is not in his best role either, as we find him at 4-11 ATS as a home Dog and now he tackles a Colts team that's looking to put some offense together after skimming by last Sunday with a 14-12 win against Jacksonville. Expect QB Manning to get things rolling in front of a national TV audience as the Colts are a profitable 5-1 ATS after being held to 14 points or less in their previous game during the Regular season. 7* Play On Indianapolis | ||
| MLB | Sep 20 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Total 7½ un-115 at BETUS | Started |
| Tampa Bay is 14-4 UNDER their last 18 games and they are 17-5 UNDER their last 22 Sunday games. The Rays are 19-6-1 UNDER in Game 3 of a series and they are 5-1 UNDER their last 6 games as underdogs. Toronto is 11-3-1 UNDER their last 15 games as home favorites. The Blue Jays are 8-3-1 UNDER with Roy Halladay on the mound as a favorite. The Blue Jays are 34-16 UNDER their last 50 games vs. the Rays. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Halladay vs. Price) | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers | San Francisco 49ers -1-102 at 5DIMES | 48min. |
| San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS their last 6 home games and they are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The 49'ers are 4-1 ATS in Week 2 of the season and they are 4-0 ATS after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their last game. Seattle is 6-21-3 ATS their last 30 games off a straight up win by more than 14 points and they are 2-7 ATS off a straight up win. The Seahawks are 0-5 after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO - | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| NFL | Sep 20 Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans | Tennessee Titans -7-110 at BETUS | Started |
| 1* Take the Tennessee Titans ATS, The Texans just got beat bad at home by the New York Jets and their defense looked just as bad as it did last season so I look for the Titans offense to have a big day at home Sunday. The Titans are a lot better team than the Texans and they should be favored by more than 7 points at home so we are getting great line value here although I anticipate this line moving later in the week. The Titans have had a few extra days to prepare for this game since they played in the season opener against the defending Super Bowl champions on the Thursday night. The Titans had several chances to win that game in Pittsburgh losing by just 3 points and the Titans are now a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games played in the Month of September. The Titans run-defense looked solid against the Steelers holding them to just 36 total rushing yards and Houston will not be able to get anything going on the ground against them. Since Houston will not be able to get anything going on the ground this will allow the Titans to control the tempo of the game. The Titans offense did about as good as you could do against one the best defenses in the NFL on the road last week. The Titans offense now faces one of the leagues worst defenses so I look for them to put up big numbers at home this week considering the Jets put up 24 points against the Texans on the road last week. The Titans are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against an AFC South opponent and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Texans are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of +3.5 to +10 points and they are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the Titans. Take the Tennessee Titans as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday afternoon. If you enjoyed Vernon Croy's Monday night NFL Smash that cashed hands down with the Buffalo Bills then you will absolutely love his huge NFL Game of the Month for Sunday! Get on it now as his domination on the grid-iron continues! | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs | Oakland Raiders +3-119 at 5DIMES | Started |
| Oakland @ Kansas City 1:00 PM EST Play On: Oakland +3 The Raiders impressed me somewhat this past Monday night against a much better Chargers team. Kansas City is 1-4 SU and 0-4 ATS as a favorite the past 3 years. Oakland is 2-0 SU and ATS at Kansas City the past 3 years. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City. Road team is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
| NFL | Sep 20 Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers | San Francisco 49ers -1-110 at BODOG | 48min. |
| InfoPlays Sunday, September 20th Free Play: 3* on San Francisco 49ers -1 Reasons why the 49ers cover the spread: 1.) 49er fans have been yearning for a winner for year, and they finally have one. Mike Singletary has installed a new attitude in this team that's contagious, and they went on the road and beat Arizona last week 20-16 to start the season. Including the preseason, the 49ers are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall, all under the guidance of Singletary. They are 5-1 in their last six regular season games. This team plays the game the right way. Run the football, mix in timely passing, and get after it defensively. The 49ers now have one of the best defenses in the league. 2.) Seattle is 1-13 ATS off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992. The Seahawks are 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Seattle may have beaten up on the Rams at home last week, but now they face a much stiffer challenge in a hungry 49ers' team that won't be denied on their home turf Sunday. Bet San Francisco at home. | ||
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Sunday's Free NFL Football Picks
John Martin
| Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13 New York Jets vs. Houston Texans | Houston Texans -4½-103 at 5DIMES | > 1h. |
| Martin�s Sunday NFL Free Play: 1 Unit on Houston Texans -4.5 New York Jets' starter Mark Sanchez will struggle in his first regular season start of his career. Not only is it his first start, but it comes on the road against a hungry Houston Texans' fan base so expect it to be very hostile. To make matters worse on Sanchez, his defense is missing several key players. DE Shaun Ellis and LB Calvin Pace are both missing this game Sunday due to suspension. The Jets' defense was awful in the preseason, giving up 23 or more points in every game. They'll have their hands full against a Houston offense that put up 25.7 points/game at home last season, going 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in front of their home fans. Matt Schaub is back at the helm, and this Texans' offense is one of the most potent in the league with Schaub under center and healthy. Houston has been strong at home under Gary Kubiak, 15-9 ATS since �06. The Jets finished 0-5 ATS in their final 5 games last year, while the Texans went 6-1 ATS in their final 7 games. Cash in with Houston as the favorite. REIGNING #3 Ranked Football Handicapper (NFL + NCAAF) from 2008! I profited +1522 units combined in both pro and college football playing 100 units/game last season as $1,000/Game Bettors took down $15,220! It's early, but my $1,000/Game Football Bettors are already up $2,030 in 2009! I have 6 NFL Plays ready for Week 1 to go along with 5 NCAA Football winners for Week 2! 2009 NFL/NCAA Football Season Package Just $449.99! Sign up for this package today to get all of my pro and college football picks through the 2010 Super Bowl! | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| NFL | Sep 13 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens | Kansas City Chiefs +13½-110 at SIA | > 1h. |
| 1* Take the Kansas City Chiefs ATS, We are getting very good line value here Sunday afternoon with the Chiefs who should be no more than 7 point dogs since they come into this season as an improved team. The Chiefs are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games as an underdog of +10.5 or more and they have covered 4 of their last 5 games on the road dating back to last season. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these two teams and double digit dogs have tended to thrived in the first few weeks of the season. Matt Cassel has been practicing all week and he will more than likely be the starter Sunday against the Ravens so I anticipate this line to drop. Take the Kansas City Chiefs as my NFL Free Play for Sunday. Vernon Croy started the college football season on a 5-1 run and he looks to dominate the NFL again this season so make sure you get on his top NFL plays for Sunday. | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints | New Orleans Saints -13½-110 at 5DIMES | > 1h. |
| 15* on New Orleans Saints -13.5 Take the Saints at home over the Detroit Lions. While Detroit is hopeful to actually win a game this season, it won't be in week 1 at New Orleans. Rookie QB Matt Stafford gets the start for the Lions, and while he has a great go-to guy in wide receiver Calvin Johnson, the Lions offensive line is still one of the worst in the league, and Stafford could spend a lot of this game on his back. Offensively, the Saints will again be one of the best in the league, led by quarterback Drew Brees, last year's NFL offensive player of the year, who racked up an incredible 5,069 passing yards and 34 touchdowns last season. The Lions have improved on defense from a year ago, but they won't be able to stop this New Orleans offensive machine. | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints | Total 49 ov-110 at SIA | > 1h. |
| We're Red Hot.... 1st 700* That Cashes!!!!$$$$$ Nfl Monster!!!!!!!!� Football Overall Plays (+1192) 16-4 L20 80% , � Football Top Plays (+790) 9-1 L10 90%, NEW ORLEANS //LIONS FLY OVER... GRAB THE 2 BEST PLAYS NOW | ||
| Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13 San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals | Arizona Cardinals -6-102 at 5DIMES | > 5h. |
| Today I have 5 HUGE NFL WINNERS FOR YOU. Don't miss out on a PERFECT SUNDAY. Make sure to take advantage of my 4 PREMIUM selections. Today's winner is the Arizona Cardinal's over the San Fransisco 49 er's. The returning NFC Champion Arizona Cardinal's are as good or better than they were a season ago. The one place that they needed help was in their running game. They went out and got Beanie Wells to help out Tim Highsmith. The high-flying air attack will start right where they left off. Fitzgerald, Boldin, and Breaston are the best trio of receivers in the game. The Card's won both games last season over the Niner's. However they did split the covers. Outside of the 4 point loss in the Super Bowl, Arizona won their 4 previous games decisively over 4 solid squads. San Fransisco had a nice story last season with the addition of HC Mike Singletary. But are still a few players short of a strong team. Their defense can not contend with the outstanding air attack of Arizona. I look for the Cardinal's to come out and make a statemenet. The 49er's are 2-6-1 ATS their last 9 vs. the NFC. The Card's are 5-0 ATS their last 5 overall, 4-0 ATS their last 4 vs. the NFC, and 9-2 ATS their last 11 as a a favorite. Take Arizona. Thank you. | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers | Philadelphia Eagles -1½-110 at BETUS | > 1h. |
| InfoPlays Sunday, September 13th NFL Free Play: 3* on Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 Reasons why the Eagles cover the spread: 1.) Philly is looking to get off to a much faster start this season after having to play perfect ball down the stretch last year just to make the playoffs. The Eagles will start fast at Carolina. Philly made some great moves in the offseason to give Donovan McNabb the weapons he needs to maximize this offense. They brought in LeSean McCoy and Jeremy Maclin via NFL draft, and both have been excellent in the preseason. This is now considered one of the top offenses in the league. Carolina did not make the proper moves to improve their offense, and the Panthers will not be able to keep up with the Eagles on the scoreboard Sunday. 2.) The Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC foes and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Oddsmakers have listed the Eagles as the favorite because they realize who the better team is here, so take advantage and get your bets in on Philly Sunday. Bet the Eagles on the road. 9-3 (75%) NFL Run In Tact! We are RED HOT heading into Week 1 NFL and it's only going to get better as the season progresses! Get InfoPlays Sunday NFL 3-Pack for $34.95 and give your man the beating he deserves on the pro gridiron this weekend! Our 10* NFL B-L-O-W-O-U-T GAME OF THE WEEK leads the charge as our team puts together the biggest blowout on the board Sunday! | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints | Total 49 ov-110 at BODOG | > 1h. |
| Detroit added a lot of talent during the offseason to the offense, mainly QB Matt Stafford, but they haven't done much to improve their disgraceful defense, which allowed 32 points per game last year during their winless 0-16 season. We find these Lions going "Over" in 18 of their last 24 road games and now head to New Orleans to play in the dome, where the Saints have posted a 16-8 (Over/Under) record. The Saints averaged 29 points per game last year, while putting up at least 24 points in EVERY home game last season. In fact, this Saints offense put up 29 points or more in 6 of their 8 home games! With Detroit improved on offense and the Saints owning one of the NFL's highest-powered offenses, this game should FLY over the total on this opening Sunday. 7* Play On OVER (Saints/Lions) | ||
| Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13 St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks | Total 41½ un-109 at 5DIMES | > 5h. |
| Free Play from Doc�s Sports. #118 Take Under in St. Louis @ Seattle (Sunday 4:15 pm Fox) The Hawks are looking for better success in 2009 and many experts have them pegged as one of the most improved teams this season. The Rams are in complete rebuilding mode and hired a new coach this season in Steve Spagnuolo, the former defensive coordinator of the New York Giants. This will be Coach Jim Mora�s first game as the head man with Seattle and means we have two defensive minded coaches doing battle with one another. That sets up for a perfect play with the under, as I believe the Rams only chance of making this game competitive will be to keep the scoring low. We will not worry if the Hawks can cover this big number and just collect with the under. Seattle 21, St. Louis 17. | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns | Cleveland Browns +4½-110 at SIA | > 1h. |
| Widow�s NFL Free Pick for Sunday: 1* on Cleveland Browns +4.5 Cleveland catching points at home is one of the biggest mistakes the linesmakers have made this week. Yes, the Browns finished just 4-12 last year, but with a new head coach and a rejuvenated team, look for Cleveland to surprise some folks this year. The Vikings are just 1-3 ATS as road chalk under head coach Brad Childress. The Browns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Browns played well at home in the preseason, going 2-0 SU & ATS with 27-10 and 23-17 wins over Detroit and Tennessee, respectively. That victory over the Titans was significant because the starters played for three quarters. Quinn and Anderson combined to complete 18-of-26 passes for more than 200 yards passing and 1 TD with 0 INT�s. Whoever gets the start Sunday has what it takes to lead the Browns to a season-opening win over Minnesota. The Browns are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Take Cleveland and the points. ***SIZZLIN' 11-1 (92%) NFL Start to 2009!*** The Widow's only loss of the preseason was a 0.5-point miss on the Redkins in Week 4! No. 1 Ranked NFL Handicapper in the World in '09! Bill Young has finished in the Top-5 on the NFL Leaderboard the past two seasons with a 3rd-place finish in 2007 & and 4th-place finish in 2008! NOW 32-12 (73%) NFL Overall Run dating back to 2008! The Widow has 7 NFL Picks lined up for Week 1 so sign up early and get in on the best available lines! 2009 NFL Season Package Only $400.00! | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns | Total 40 un-102 at 5DIMES | > 1h. |
| UNDER 40 (2 units) There is a fair amount of value in playing the UNDER in this interconference matchup. The Vikings are one of the league�s strongest defensive teams. Last year they ranked 4th in sacks (45), were tied for 3rd in forced fumbles (22) and ranked first in rushing yards allowed (76.8). They ranked 18th for passing yards allowed (215.6) but managed to improve significantly from 2007 when they were dead last allowing an average of 264.5 passing yards. The bottom line is that Minnesota�s defense will be too strong for Cleveland�s mediocre offense that managed to score only 14.5 points per game last season. There is no doubt that Cleveland will definitely be better than last year under new head coach Eric Mangini and 2 healthy starting quarterbacks, but they still have a long way to go. Mangini is a defensive genius and will focus his efforts heavily on controlling the clock and strengthening his defense. The addition of Brett Favre to the Minnesota Vikings does not turn this team into an offensive powerhouse but definitely gives the Vikings the opportunity to be a Super Bowl Contender. It is quite obvious that Favre is not the same QB as he was in his Green Bay era but he can help the Vikings win games by making simple completions, and obviously by not throwing interceptions. Minnesota�s offense will still rely heavily on Adrian Peterson as Favre will have to adjust to the Vikings playbook. In the end, both teams will be heavily running the ball in this matchup. This game will be heavily concentrated on field position. I can�t see too many touchdowns being scored in this one. There are a few trends favoring the UNDER in this one. UNDER is 8-3 in Cleveland�s last 11 home games and 5-1 in its last 6 Week 1 contests. UNDER is 7-3-1 in Minnesota�s last 11 games in September. Lay 2 units on the UNDER. | ||
| Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13 Minnesota Vikings vs. Cleveland Browns | Minnesota Vikings -4+102 at 5DIMES | > 1h. |
| Get in on all of Craig's Premium Picks he has been on fire going 10-3 in MLB and 3-2 in CFB in the past 10 days! A new coach and GM have the Browns hoping for some magic in 2009. But that is just what they will need in 2009 if they are going to win many games this year. The good news is they have a solid offensive line that should help whoever the starting QB ends up being. The bad news is neither of there potential QB's are dependable, the RB is over the hill, and the top WR led the league with drops in 2008. If you thought it could not get worse your wrong the defense lacks playmakers and will be lucky to not be in the bottom 5 of the league. The Vikings are the favorite to represent the NFC in 2009. Minnesota has one of the top defenses in all of the NFL with an amazing defensive line. The Vikings take away the run from every team and dare them to throw into double coverages in the secondary. Adrian Peterson is the best running back in the NFL and with a very solid offensive line will be almost unstoppable this year. Oh and don't forget now the Vikings have Brett Farve. Not sure the new QB puts them over the top but it is still better than the backups. This game is easy to breakdown. The Browns struggle to stop the run verse the Vikings which might be the best in football at running the ball. The Browns have a solid offense line but will have hands full with the front 7 of the Vikings. Making Cleveland throw the ball to win spells turnovers for Cleveland. The Vikes win going away and cover by at least double digits. Minnesota Vikings -4 | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers | Carolina Panthers +3-115 at BODOG | > 1h. |
Here is Ryan�s top rated 15* Titan Dog Play of the Month and this play comes DOUBLE GUARANTEED, which means that if it does not cash for you, not only is there NO CHARGE, but you get John�s Monday Night play for FREE�. This play comes w/ complete research showing you why this is top rated play. Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Carolina as they host Philadelphia set to start at 1:00 EST. Eagles were not good at all in all facets of the pre-season and were perhaps their worst in week 3 � the dress rehearsal for week 1. Plus, the Eagles have had a ton of injuries on defense and they could not stop the run last year. Now, with so many new starters it will be even tougher for them to stop the 2-headed running monster in Carolina�s DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Where the Eagles become completely exposed is in play action pass plays. I just can�t see DT Patterson and Bunkley winning the LOS against Carolina�s huge interior linemen. Watch the beginning of the game and see how many times in the first 3 series that those interior linemen get to the second level of defenders. If it is more than 2/3 rds of the time then the Eagles defense could get torched for a huge scoring barrage. HC Fox is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of Carolina. AiS shows a 65% probability that Carolina will win this game. It also shows a 90% probability that they will gain more than 125 rushing yards. Note that Carolina is 8-2 ATS over the past 3 seasons and 30-10 ATS since 1992 when they gain 125 or more rushing yards. Take Carolina. | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers | Total 43½ un-108 at 5DIMES | > 1h. |
| Free NFL Over-Under | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens | Kansas City Chiefs +13½-110 at SIA | > 1h. |
| Free NFL Play | ||
| NFL | Sep 13 Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6-110 at SIA | > 1h. |
| On Sunday the system club play is on the Tampa bay Buccaneers. Game 470 at 1:00 eastern. Tampa comes into this one with a new coach in Raheem Morris. No doubt they will be fired up and ready to go. Its worth noting that the Bucs have always been a fantastic non divisional home dog. Tampa has covered 10 of 11 times in this role. Dallas will be a very public play today as the line is now up to six,up three points from the original early opening line of three. Dallas has lost the last two times they have played here. Today they fit a big negative system that cashes nearly 90%. What we want to do is play against certain road favorites in week one of the season, if they have a conference home game in week two. I would wait as long as possible in this one as the line may shoot up before game time. I think this one will be a close game. On Sundays late phone card I have a play from a very solid system that has cashed 47 of 57 times picking certain games in the first three weeks of the season. I also have 2 big high roller games from a solid week 1 system that wins just about every year. Jump on these solid plays and start the season off right. Take the Buccaneers today plus the points. BOL RV. | ||
| MLB | Sep 13 Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels -139 at 5DIMES | > 4h. |
| Free Play for 9/13/09 1 Unit on LA Angels -139 The Angels rolled in Game 1 of this series but then fell 3-4 in extras Saturday. I like LA to bounce back strong this afternoon against a White Sox team that is just 13-45 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games, and 3-11 in Buehrle's last 14 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Plus, the Halos crush lefty pitching to the tune of 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter and Kazmir enters with an ERA of only 1.40 and a WHIP of 0.724 over his last 3 starts. 1 Unit on the Halos. | ||
| Free NFL Football Picks | Sep 13 Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts | Jacksonville Jaguars +7-102 at 5DIMES | > 1h. |
| The 2009-10 NFL season will open without Tony Dungy at the helm of a team for the first time in over a decade. Dungy established himself as one of the all-time greats, winning at Tampa Bay and Indianapolis, including a Super Bowl a couple of years ago. Jim Caldwell takes over for the Colts as they face the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. The Jags could never get anything going a year ago as nothing seemed to go right for this team. They went from 11 wins in 2007 to five in 2008 thanks primarily to an injury-riddled offensive line that forced them away from their successful play action passing attack. They lost both starting guards and their center in the very early going and no team is going to win when that happens. It led to a running game that was literally grounded and exposed QB David Garrard to 42 sacks (double his previous high). The offensive line is healthy to start the season and Garrard lost 20 pounds in the off-season, setting up a swifter QB and back to the rollout play action formations in which he has had his greatest success. Maurice Jones-Drew finally gets to tote the rock exclusively and this team will be better for it. I expect the Jags to improve tremendously on offense this year. The Jags match up well with the Colts up front and their hard-nosed smash mouth tactics have taken advantage of Indy's weak interior defense. The Jags have always played well against the Colts and these games are very frequently tight and hotly contested. The last 14 times these teams have met, 12 games were decided by eight points or less and the Jags have covered four straight at Indianapolis. Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio is now 5-1 ATS as a divisional dog of 7+ points. This is just too many points in a division rivalry like this one. The line is big because Jacksonville is underrated. I like the Jags to put up a real fight here. | ||
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